Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fe29c67ffc6459c1011e296881b537c97ceea63abc8c9422ca3c5aa5a813290
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,352 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed No | 57c | 19,999$11,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.34 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked No | 57c | 13,701$7,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,782.46 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 44c | 8,971$3,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,023.62 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 70c | 7,518$5,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.29 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 6,283$3,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.76 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.16 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +12.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Yes | 43c | 3,787$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 3,189$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.58 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 56c | 3,051$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.77 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 29c | 2,442$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.25 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Yes | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked No | 58c | 1,462$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 29c | 1,238$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.26 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 56c | 1,158$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.22 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 69c | 997$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.07 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.23 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 69c | 720$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.31 | 365 | 63%230 W · 135 L | +32.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 68c | 618.13$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.89 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 43c | 511.63$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.63 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 43c | 504.06$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.39 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 42c | 473.81$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.81 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 43c | 383$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.31 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 42c | 375$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 42c | 364.57$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.55 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 28c | 297.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed No | 30c | 295.42$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 22c | 197.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 410 | 21.7%89 W · 321 L | -54.8wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 56c | 180.18$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce4…8ea7backed Yes | 45c | 176$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…e1b5backed Yes | 43c | 170$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 72c | 162.73$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 42c | 146.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 40c | 139$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 42c | 138$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked No | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 43c | 127.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 43c | 125$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 30c | 116.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 56c | 105$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Yes | 44c | 89.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Yes | 44c | 88.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 42c | 88.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 43c | 87.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 74c | 84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Yes | 43c | 78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 16c | 74.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fae…e643backed No | 57c | 74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 76c | 71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 60c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc931…75d0backed No | 57c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf18…09a4backed No | 36c | 55.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No | 41c | 54.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 54c | 54.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 45c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…1f2ebacked No | 57c | 52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 60c | 51.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | +47.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 39c | 49.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63e1…f744backed No | 57c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…fecbbacked No | 57c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed No | 56c | 42.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c7…110abacked No | 57c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb52…614abacked No | 57c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 40c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed No | 56c | 33.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 265 | 54.7%145 W · 120 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…642dbacked No | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 43c | 24.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked No | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.