Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9074201fcf74086b9ee5b675ed210a8f31f0c5a43f07476530819b21a2ec77bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 40c | 1,281$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.19 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed No | 61c | 458.65$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.57 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 30c | 441.94$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.17 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 51c | 387.74$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.94 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 62c | 356.64$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.48 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b0…298fbacked Yes | 38c | 344.73$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.72 | 146 | 26%38 W · 108 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…159fbacked No | 50c | 302.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.39 | 203 | 42.9%87 W · 116 L | +20.8wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…6364backed No | 68c | 299.33$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.78 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 41c | 223.96$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.47 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 18c | 203.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 58c | 191.01$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 40c | 158.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172e…997fbacked Yes | 45c | 157.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 32c | 136.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed Yes | 55c | 128.37$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 59c | 126.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…d682backed No | 59c | 112.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…5d22backed No | 66c | 102.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 40c | 98.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 87.39$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…2fd0backed No | 54c | 79.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05a…d78fbacked No | 64c | 78.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 126 | 70.6%89 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 40c | 77.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 285 | 17.9%51 W · 234 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…099abacked No | 60c | 77.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…6f96backed No | 64c | 75.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 123 | 74%91 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…2ab1backed Yes | 49c | 75.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 60c | 71.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7445…268fbacked Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8b…d33ebacked Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b1…ab63backed Yes | 44c | 68.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | +16.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce3…1689backed Yes | 47c | 67.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 474 | 32.5%154 W · 320 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747a…f334backed Yes | 32c | 64.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 62c | 64.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 61c | 61.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 39c | 55.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…3255backed No | 55c | 54.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…4d6bbacked No | 61c | 53.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x525c…23acbacked Yes | 54c | 53.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb9…83acbacked Yes | 32c | 51.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 51c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed No | 63c | 50.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 166 | 26.5%44 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda26…8fefbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb798…37cabacked No | 61c | 46.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 38c | 46.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed Yes | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 41c | 43.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…2ea5backed No | 62c | 40.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057b…07aebacked Yes | 44c | 38.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked No | 70c | 36.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85a6…bb90backed No | 62c | 36.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…4d7bbacked Yes | 52c | 36.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 183 | 68.9%126 W · 57 L | +25.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 44c | 36.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 37c | 35.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d21…5dc0backed Yes | 48c | 34.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 46c | 32.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ead…b7bfbacked No | 61c | 31.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…bd6dbacked No | 60c | 30.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…1b64backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 42c | 29.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf582…0a68backed Yes | 39c | 29.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…8812backed No | 63c | 29.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855e…de25backed No | 68c | 28.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…958fbacked Yes | 47c | 28.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d2…6efcbacked Yes | 37c | 27.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 219 | 30.1%66 W · 153 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 60c | 27.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d9…03d2backed Yes | 41c | 27.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed No | 56c | 26.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea9…09a8backed Yes | 45c | 26.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…6c41backed No | 56c | 24.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba3…4e15backed No | 50c | 23.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 278 | 51.8%144 W · 134 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 61c | 23.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 63c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…b13bbacked No | 60c | 22.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a3…5799backed No | 60c | 21.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1746…41eebacked No | 57c | 17.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.