La Liga · resolved market
Celta Fortuna vs. FC Andorra: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90747c07f1f723878f50691e0b956974d963f4a4099dfd6d28bf2a85bb3833fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 8c | 1,020$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.52 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 72c | 1,002$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.64 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 72c | 964.48$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.25 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 925.61$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.64 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 53c | 560$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.16 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 550$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.25 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 12c | 418.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 57c | 409.99$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.71 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 27c | 200$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 16c | 185.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Over | 51c | 170.67$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.63 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over | 60c | 166.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 72c | 55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 73c | 45.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 41.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 28c | 38.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa58…140dbacked Over | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 65c | 18.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 67c | 16.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celta Fortuna vs. FC Andorra: O/U 3.5this page
- Celta Fortuna vs. FC Andorra: FC Andorra O/U 2.5Under won
- Celta Fortuna vs. FC Andorra: O/U 0.5Over won
- Celta Fortuna vs. FC Andorra: O/U 1.5Over won
- Celta Fortuna vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5Over won
- Celta Fortuna vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5Over won
- Celta Fortuna vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Celta Fortuna (-1.5)Celta Fortuna won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-1.5)Celta Fortuna won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-2.5)Celta Fortuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.