La Liga · resolved market
Celta Fortuna vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17a62745b17e32cacebf96ad992521611d9d9de48c75bcc08858b5b61399cd1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 1c | 8,030$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.02 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 53c | 3,780$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 49c | 3,417$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.58 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 53c | 2,800$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.95 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 48c | 1,532$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.99 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 46c | 761.77$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.41 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Under | 47c | 618.36$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…47edbacked Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 429.54$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.23 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 53c | 188.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 48c | 180.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.44 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 47c | 174.95$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Under | 47c | 161.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 15c | 160$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Under | 47c | 122.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 120.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 47c | 84.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 52c | 78.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Under | 47c | 72.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…deedbacked Under | 46c | 69.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 47c | 67.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 48c | 58.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 53.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 48c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 50c | 47.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Under | 47c | 41.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Under | 47c | 40.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10af…2d06backed Under | 47c | 40.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 50c | 39.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 48c | 39.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 50c | 38.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 64c | 26.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Under | 47c | 24.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celta Fortuna vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5this page
- Celta Fortuna vs. FC Andorra: FC Andorra O/U 2.5Under won
- Celta Fortuna vs. FC Andorra: O/U 0.5Over won
- Celta Fortuna vs. FC Andorra: O/U 1.5Over won
- Celta Fortuna vs. FC Andorra: O/U 3.5Over won
- Celta Fortuna vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5Over won
- Celta Fortuna vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Celta Fortuna (-1.5)Celta Fortuna won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-1.5)Celta Fortuna won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-2.5)Celta Fortuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.