CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs Haunted House (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90a7edc56ddb0384e51f76d2238d9d0832f2d3665f373bfb7899bf51e3e487cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chinggis Warriorsof Chinggis Warriors, Haunted House
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Chinggis Warriors | 62c | 455.69$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.4 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chinggis Warriors | 53c | 218.32$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Haunted House | 37c | 214.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…f13bbacked Haunted House | 68c | 214.42$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.1 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Haunted House | 44c | 200.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Haunted House | 32c | 145.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Haunted House | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chinggis Warriors | 45c | 124.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Chinggis Warriors | 47c | 103.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…e58cbacked Chinggis Warriors | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2793backed Haunted House | 54c | 92.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Chinggis Warriors | 41c | 85.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Chinggis Warriors | 64c | 73.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7a…b8bdbacked Haunted House | 59c | 67.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1431…94d0backed Haunted House | 56c | 66.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Haunted House | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chinggis Warriors | 59c | 59.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Haunted House | 39c | 59.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Haunted House | 34c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Haunted House | 46c | 47.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Haunted House | 36c | 46.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2c…f5bebacked Chinggis Warriors | 64c | 46.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Haunted House | 63c | 44.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Haunted House | 39c | 41.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Haunted House | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Chinggis Warriors | 51c | 39.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Haunted House | 48c | 34.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Chinggis Warriors | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf066…3349backed Chinggis Warriors | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chinggis Warriors | 47c | 27.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…76b5backed Haunted House | 45c | 26.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…74b7backed Haunted House | 45c | 24.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed Chinggis Warriors | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Chinggis Warriors | 63c | 19.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Chinggis Warriors | 55c | 18.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Chinggis Warriors | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs Haunted House (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs Haunted House - Map 1 WinnerHaunted House won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.