CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Endless Journey (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90b2da5666df9a7e8a07be8c04ebae12a897782efffc47f73ac543454a69d461
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Bushido Wildcats, Endless Journey
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Endless Journey | 40c | 6,849$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.72 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 3,200$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.1 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Endless Journey | 33c | 3,095$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.46 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 1,492$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.3 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe453…256ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 881.36$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.36 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 850$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.5 | 353 | 47.9%169 W · 184 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Bushido Wildcats | 66c | 761.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.43 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Endless Journey | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 399.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed Endless Journey | 33c | 356.12$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.52 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…4d51backed Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 320.33$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.36 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…e0d4backed Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 306.59$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 290.58$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.81 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed Bushido Wildcats | 60c | 229$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 329 | 49.2%162 W · 167 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 216.62$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 194.44$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 162.73$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ac87backed Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 147.44$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…1963backed Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 142.59$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…8930backed Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 135.32$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Endless Journey | 39c | 133.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…94c0backed Endless Journey | 43c | 115.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked Endless Journey | 41c | 106$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 252 | 52%131 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Endless Journey | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 746 | 33.4%249 W · 497 L | -48.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd4…035bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 92.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…a4d3backed Endless Journey | 43c | 89.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Endless Journey | 41c | 87.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Endless Journey | 42c | 81.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked Endless Journey | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Endless Journey | 42c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Endless Journey | 32c | 71.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 64.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd1…0ac8backed Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 59.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…1a7bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 66c | 52.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -7.9wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…ed56backed Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Endless Journey | 34c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Endless Journey | 42c | 47.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Endless Journey | 42c | 41.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Endless Journey | 42c | 36.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 185 | 63.2%117 W · 68 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Bushido Wildcats | 77c | 35.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 510 | 55.9%285 W · 225 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bc…7e01backed Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 31.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…b0e5backed Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 28.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13bd…a6c5backed Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 24.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 23.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…f0b2backed Bushido Wildcats | 66c | 22.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…1ab5backed Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 20.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…88a1backed Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 20.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bushido Wildcats | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Bushido Wildcats | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 18.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 16.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 521 | 44.7%233 W · 288 L | -21.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.