Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs L1ga Team (BO3) - CCT Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90d1d12ce91ffa7e2f1e997221ee88843e5963d1a26d8bae9747577781d072ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Gamingof paiN Gaming, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,610 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN Gaming | 72c | 946.43$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.78 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed L1ga Team | 15c | 711.11$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.11 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked L1ga Team | 36c | 599.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…e45cbacked paiN Gaming | 64c | 357$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed L1ga Team | 17c | 327.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked L1ga Team | 30c | 253.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed paiN Gaming | 64c | 234.68$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed L1ga Team | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed paiN Gaming | 64c | 121.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked L1ga Team | 26c | 114.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8174…b82ebacked L1ga Team | 25c | 113.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed L1ga Team | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked L1ga Team | 38c | 97.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc10…311fbacked L1ga Team | 17c | 85.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed L1ga Team | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…4046backed L1ga Team | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…8065backed paiN Gaming | 77c | 59.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed paiN Gaming | 76c | 57.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed paiN Gaming | 77c | 57.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked paiN Gaming | 64c | 51.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed paiN Gaming | 67c | 43.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7641…0089backed paiN Gaming | 65c | 35.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked paiN Gaming | 71c | 33.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…b19fbacked paiN Gaming | 80c | 17.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs L1ga Team (BO3) - CCT Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs L1ga Team - Game 1 WinnerpaiN Gaming won
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs L1ga Team - Game 2 WinnerpaiN Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.