Tennis · resolved market
Cary: Edward Winter vs Andrew Fenty
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9165d94b6a5a1adf15c8b5b04fd343cc5753fa0c05f2f29cea35a8de379869df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Edward Winterof Edward Winter, Andrew Fenty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Andrew Fenty | 1c | 4,189$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Andrew Fenty | 53c | 3,347$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.79 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Edward Winter | 46c | 1,581$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.62 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Andrew Fenty | 2c | 1,256$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Edward Winter | 47c | 859.99$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.8 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Andrew Fenty | 2c | 837$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Andrew Fenty | 4c | 668.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Edward Winter | 49c | 627.15$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.91 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Edward Winter | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Andrew Fenty | 3c | 367.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Andrew Fenty | 53c | 362$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.86 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Edward Winter | 54c | 299.91$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.22 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Andrew Fenty | 40c | 259.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Edward Winter | 50c | 250$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.17 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Edward Winter | 49c | 245.18$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.11 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Andrew Fenty | 4c | 239.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Andrew Fenty | 54c | 221.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Edward Winter | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Andrew Fenty | 51c | 162.17$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.63 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Andrew Fenty | 51c | 145$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Andrew Fenty | 51c | 131.35$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Andrew Fenty | 43c | 125.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Andrew Fenty | 19c | 123.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Edward Winter | 75c | 109.72$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Andrew Fenty | 53c | 88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Edward Winter | 51c | 86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Edward Winter | 56c | 85.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Edward Winter | 45c | 84.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Edward Winter | 63c | 72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Edward Winter | 62c | 67.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Edward Winter | 59c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Edward Winter | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Andrew Fenty | 48c | 63.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…f273backed Andrew Fenty | 48c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Edward Winter | 52c | 57.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Edward Winter | 53c | 54.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Edward Winter | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Edward Winter | 54c | 44.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Edward Winter | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Andrew Fenty | 53c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Andrew Fenty | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Andrew Fenty | 35c | 39.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Andrew Fenty | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Edward Winter | 49c | 32.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 95 | 20%19 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Edward Winter | 50c | 31.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Andrew Fenty | 53c | 30.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Andrew Fenty | 52c | 29.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Edward Winter | 55c | 24.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Andrew Fenty | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Andrew Fenty | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 78.3%83 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Edward Winter | 58c | 17.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Edward Winter | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Edward Winter | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.