Premier League · resolved market
Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91b1ce6efa780569af5700b1f9f2801ed509bebb62eac985c7ac07d75b20dedc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 68c | 53,132$36,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,251.38 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 33c | 23,378$7,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,615.24 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 9,847$3,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,305.7 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 8,632$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,719.79 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…e424backed Under | 49c | 6,348$3,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,130.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 33c | 5,423$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,633.45 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 41c | 5,055$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.68 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 33c | 3,921$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.56 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 41c | 3,044$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.17 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 61c | 2,393$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.49 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…7070backed Under | 37c | 1,450$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 39c | 1,121$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.21 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 25c | 898.48$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.86 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 38c | 694.9$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.06 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd0…7902backed Under | 68c | 529.41$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 38c | 493$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.34 | 173 | 39.9%69 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 33c | 290.95$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.76 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Under | 49c | 157.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 33c | 151$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 33c | 140$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Over | 36c | 121.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 34c | 117.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.05 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Under | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 60c | 63.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 33c | 55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 34c | 47.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Under | 40c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 34c | 38.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Over | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 28c | 35.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 39c | 33.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea3…2b3dbacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Over | 35c | 32.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…6a3abacked Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: Ipswich Town FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: Leicester City FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-2.5)Leicester City FC won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.