Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Tauson (-1.5) vs Hibino (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x922723678cf8958a9242f6a04ffdf6ff9d09887c066f8834b7045af326f34ac7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tausonof Tauson, Hibino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Tauson | 60c | 8,357$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,357.18 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Hibino | 40c | 5,020$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.85 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Hibino | 43c | 2,015$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.65 | 428 | 41.6%178 W · 250 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hibino | 40c | 1,875$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hibino | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Hibino | 40c | 457.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.46 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Hibino | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Hibino | 41c | 172$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Hibino | 48c | 94.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Hibino | 47c | 94.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Tauson | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tauson | 55c | 72.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Hibino | 45c | 67.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Tauson | 59c | 57.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Tauson | 56c | 46.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 996 | 49.5%493 W · 503 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Tauson | 52c | 32.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Hibino | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Tauson | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Tauson | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Tauson (-1.5) vs Hibino (+1.5)this page
- Athens Open: Clara Tauson vs Nao HibinoClara Tauson won
- Clara Tauson vs. Nao Hibino: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 2 Winner: Tauson vs HibinoTauson won
- Tauson vs. Hibino: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.