Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Mary Stoiana vs Matilde Jorge
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92618a50291102bce10e77bf90c171148467e278a11f0b829333363390f1659c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mary Stoianaof Mary Stoiana, Matilde Jorge
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matilde Jorge | 21c | 2,459$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.26 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mary Stoiana | 76c | 2,183$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.18 | 4,626 | 67.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L | +310.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Mary Stoiana | 76c | 2,120$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.5 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…5715backed Matilde Jorge | 11c | 1,171$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Matilde Jorge | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 579 | 49.6%287 W · 292 L | -32.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Matilde Jorge | 26c | 999.62$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.9 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…0e56backed Matilde Jorge | 28c | 739.11$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Matilde Jorge | 6c | 712$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 574 | 27.5%158 W · 416 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Matilde Jorge | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 160 | 18.1%29 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Matilde Jorge | 21c | 547.9$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.06 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Mary Stoiana | 79c | 538.18$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Mary Stoiana | 75c | 399.91$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 1,103 | 52.2%576 W · 527 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Matilde Jorge | 28c | 370.25$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Mary Stoiana | 74c | 333.33$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Matilde Jorge | 14c | 300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 683 | 38.2%261 W · 422 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Matilde Jorge | 7c | 284.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 184 | 10.9%20 W · 164 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Mary Stoiana | 69c | 246.25$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 1,375 | 38.3%527 W · 848 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Matilde Jorge | 10c | 242.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Matilde Jorge | 13c | 241$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 708 | 29.1%206 W · 502 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Matilde Jorge | 26c | 211.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Matilde Jorge | 25c | 210.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 7,129 | 39.7%2,832 W · 4,297 L | -14.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Matilde Jorge | 31c | 163.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 999 | 41.1%411 W · 588 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Matilde Jorge | 24c | 157$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Mary Stoiana | 67c | 140.19$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 5,041 | 41.4%2,087 W · 2,954 L | -83.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Mary Stoiana | 73c | 130.09$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Mary Stoiana | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Mary Stoiana | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Matilde Jorge | 29c | 89.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Matilde Jorge | 28c | 85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Mary Stoiana | 59c | 83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Mary Stoiana | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Matilde Jorge | 20c | 69.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1,887 | 45.8%864 W · 1,023 L | +52.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Mary Stoiana | 80c | 60.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 2,059 | 59.5%1,226 W · 833 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3998…7f0fbacked Mary Stoiana | 73c | 50.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Matilde Jorge | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Mary Stoiana | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Mary Stoiana | 70c | 40.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1,090 | 73.7%803 W · 287 L | +40.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Matilde Jorge | 27c | 37.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 2,554 | 36.3%928 W · 1,626 L | -23.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Mary Stoiana | 75c | 32.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 328 | 31.7%104 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Mary Stoiana | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mary Stoiana | 72c | 31.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Mary Stoiana | 75c | 27.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 1,073 | 57.4%616 W · 457 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Mary Stoiana | 72c | 19.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Mary Stoiana | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…d68bbacked Mary Stoiana | 73c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.