Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Francisco Dons vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92ae10dd12b230921756f445b4f1084a145da98ecd81e6e0bb6fc65ddd2f0c47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gonzaga Bulldogsof San Francisco Dons, Gonzaga Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed San Francisco Dons | 6c | 6,684$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.95 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked San Francisco Dons | 7c | 5,416$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.07 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Francisco Dons | 6c | 2,674$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed San Francisco Dons | 6c | 1,827$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked San Francisco Dons | 6c | 1,522$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked San Francisco Dons | 6c | 1,500$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked San Francisco Dons | 6c | 1,055$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked San Francisco Dons | 6c | 1,053$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed San Francisco Dons | 6c | 861.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed San Francisco Dons | 6c | 760$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed San Francisco Dons | 10c | 713.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed San Francisco Dons | 8c | 706.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed San Francisco Dons | 6c | 666.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed San Francisco Dons | 3c | 628.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Dons | 7c | 583$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Francisco Dons | 5c | 443.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked San Francisco Dons | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…de7cbacked San Francisco Dons | 7c | 294.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed San Francisco Dons | 6c | 267.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked San Francisco Dons | 6c | 250$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Dons vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsthis page
- San Francisco Dons vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 150.5Under won
- San Francisco Dons vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 151.5Under won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-16.5)San Francisco Dons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.