MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92b5c6e1055eb8f0efb48bca3812f8ec324010b1bd5c6d387552ffd7bec473ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Pirates, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Pirates | 44c | 7,647$3,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,354.16 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b3cebacked Pirates | 37c | 5,040$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.77 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Cubs | 63c | 3,421$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.77 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Cubs | 56c | 3,090$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.17 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cubs | 63c | 3,050$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.67 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 61c | 2,333$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Pirates | 35c | 1,956$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.92 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Cubs | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cubs | 51c | 1,180$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.87 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…e87cbacked Cubs | 65c | 1,171$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.75 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Cubs | 66c | 1,137$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.97 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 62c | 1,009$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.31 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Pirates | 37c | 999.97$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pirates | 47c | 850.6$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Cubs | 61c | 620$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Pirates | 38c | 529.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Cubs | 61c | 499.13$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.66 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cubs | 63c | 476$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.12 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Cubs | 66c | 446.58$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.67 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Pirates | 28c | 443.55$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.47 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Pirates | 31c | 426.46$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.1 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Cubs | 65c | 423.08$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.08 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…e106backed Cubs | 63c | 397.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.93 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Cubs | 62c | 387$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.06 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 37c | 350$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Cubs | 63c | 348$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.76 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cubs | 63c | 331.75$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.75 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Cubs | 43c | 313.07$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.07 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Pirates | 36c | 275.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cubs | 64c | 270.6$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates | 39c | 256.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pirates | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Pirates | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…979abacked Cubs | 64c | 226.52$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Pirates | 38c | 226.24$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Cubs | 63c | 221.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Pirates | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Pirates | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…6924backed Pirates | 35c | 199.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 53c | 179.77$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.63 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 58c | 168.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cubs | 62c | 168.2$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Pirates | 37c | 166.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cubs | 65c | 153.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Pirates | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cubs | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Pirates | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x139f…6638backed Pirates | 26c | 99.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Pirates | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Pirates | 21c | 86.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Cubs | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pirates | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7f…6c30backed Pirates | 38c | 72.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe295…f556backed Pirates | 38c | 70.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Pirates | 46c | 70.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd0…e934backed Pirates | 38c | 70.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa012…8599backed Cubs | 63c | 69.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…40bfbacked Pirates | 38c | 67.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c1…d033backed Pirates | 38c | 66.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Cubs | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd4…e888backed Cubs | 63c | 59.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…7fa7backed Pirates | 37c | 58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pirates | 30c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Pirates | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cubs | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Cubs | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876a…d686backed Cubs | 63c | 44.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4eb…154bbacked Cubs | 63c | 43.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf499…681bbacked Pirates | 38c | 43.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…d3e0backed Cubs | 63c | 43.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…e309backed Cubs | 63c | 42.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6892…20c5backed Pirates | 38c | 42.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…3e06backed Cubs | 63c | 42.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847b…bae4backed Cubs | 63c | 41.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa379…f908backed Cubs | 63c | 41.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec9d…fc4ebacked Pirates | 38c | 40.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cubs | 67c | 40.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2007…c513backed Cubs | 63c | 40.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afe…528abacked Cubs | 63c | 40.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…a350backed Cubs | 63c | 39.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…c463backed Cubs | 76c | 35.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Pirates | 36c | 31.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Pirates | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2395…0aa8backed Pirates | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12c5…715bbacked Cubs | 64c | 29.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed Pirates | 37c | 28.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe52a…cb4abacked Cubs | 63c | 28.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Cubs | 41c | 27.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…eb75backed Cubs | 63c | 25.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…742dbacked Cubs | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Pirates | 50c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Pirates | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…77c4backed Cubs | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…60fabacked Cubs | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Cubs | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Pirates | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.