South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93314c44bd0250399928db54e20a5c0a97a800c212b9788b71e8c8bed154b484
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 51c | 5,959$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.62 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 32c | 5,724$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.47 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 0c | 3,673$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 7c | 2,723$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.7 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 1,388$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.22 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 1,186$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.94 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 1,174$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.27 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 25c | 618.76$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.07 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 612.91$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.68 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 74c | 375.73$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.86 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 328.52$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.94 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 229.07$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.66 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 57c | 181.45$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 68c | 177.35$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.08 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 166.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.59 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 16c | 128$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 18c | 101$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 15c | 82.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 65c | 76.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 74c | 64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 78c | 61.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 61c | 45.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked No | 76c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed No | 77c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 46c | 25.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 74c | 25.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked No | 77c | 17.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 74c | 15.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 74c | 15.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 74c | 14.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 77c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 77c | 13.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-01?this page
- Will Racing Club vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?No won
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.