Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9331aee38c96f4bdce79cb5e9f148fd8b3e5645a3f9e10f286ca06313324cc4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 57c | 2,506$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.03 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 72c | 1,648$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.94 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 46c | 1,430$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.14 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 50c | 956.4$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.31 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 32c | 312.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 31.8%41 W · 88 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 290.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 64c | 289.41$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.18 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 70c | 285.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…7070backed Yes | 17c | 249.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 48c | 216.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 31c | 203.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 56c | 179.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.57 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 77c | 141.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0c…10f2backed Yes | 31c | 129.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 29c | 127.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 837 | 33%276 W · 561 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 51c | 119.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes | 23c | 106.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 76.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 54c | 67.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 76c | 65.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 69c | 58.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 85 | 74.1%63 W · 22 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 308 | 51%157 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 62c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 70c | 45.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed No | 77c | 43.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 60 | 80%48 W · 12 L | +13.7wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 43.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…6122backed No | 61c | 40.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc1…0f58backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 72c | 31.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…653fbacked No | 70c | 16.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent end in a draw?this page
- Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-27?No won
- Will KAA Gent win on 2026-08-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.