Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5e8b644e3196fd49af0ae971266e51ffed4ff9fc7192c9c0023e6be6d301c9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 68c | 39,994$27,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,776.67 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 7,954$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.41 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 32c | 4,090$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.18 | 772 | 48.8%377 W · 395 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 32c | 3,902$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.68 | 725 | 50.2%364 W · 361 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 32c | 3,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.67 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 49c | 3,356$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.48 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 21c | 2,542$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.11 | 147 | 49%72 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 2,500$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.73 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 32c | 2,442$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.35 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 32c | 2,374$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.96 | 472 | 44.9%212 W · 260 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 60c | 2,198$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.95 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 1,871$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.85 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Yes | 77c | 1,544$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 74c | 1,318$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.33 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 23c | 1,156$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.42 | 837 | 33%276 W · 561 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 33c | 1,107$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.78 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 28c | 946.95$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.75 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd09b…8e44backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +304.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cd…8e7dbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Yes | 31c | 789.32$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.69 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 32c | 781$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 473 | 42.1%199 W · 274 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 35c | 740$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.44 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…3da9backed No | 68c | 705.09$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…59e2backed No | 68c | 599.97$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 69cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 77c | 565.99$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.25 | 128 | 73.4%94 W · 34 L | +19.8wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Yes | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 421.78$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.18 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 32c | 365.74$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 70c | 356.21$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.64 | 137 | 67.2%92 W · 45 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Yes | 32c | 326.79$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 10c | 303.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 66c | 301.51$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 31c | 241.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 230$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 31c | 209.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 25c | 203.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.42 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked No | 68c | 183.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6728…a070backed No | 68c | 176.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2f…2586backed No | 68c | 176.25$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 31c | 162.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 32c | 150$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…fc7cbacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked Yes | 33c | 140.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 32c | 133.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 32c | 126$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 344 | 49.1%169 W · 175 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 30c | 113.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cc…09a3backed No | 23c | 108.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 39c | 105.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 65c | 103.03$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 763 | 56.1%428 W · 335 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…8b00backed No | 68c | 102.09$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…2f84backed No | 68c | 99.19$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 27c | 94.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 222 | 37.8%84 W · 138 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 35c | 78.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 34c | 72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 838 | 45%377 W · 461 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 31c | 63.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed No | 66c | 62.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 35c | 59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 896 | 48.2%432 W · 464 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 61c | 57.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 34c | 55.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 341 | 42.8%146 W · 195 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 53.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 1,041 | 48%500 W · 541 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 53c | 48.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 77c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 34c | 44.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 194 | 63.4%123 W · 71 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 74c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 41c | 39.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Yes | 33c | 37.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a6…ef29backed Yes | 78c | 36.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Yes | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Yes | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 34c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 33c | 33.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 308 | 51%157 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c1…6790backed No | 67c | 29.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 73c | 21.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +19.6wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x7127…c7a2backed Yes | 80c | 18.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 68c | 15.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-27?this page
- Will Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent end in a draw?No won
- Will KAA Gent win on 2026-08-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.