Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea1069eb876b8c9dec792de2c142e5b90f9b84bda044aeb4384e09f64a325f41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.98 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -14.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 49c | 3,098$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.79 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 26c | 2,998$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.2 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 11c | 2,703$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.09 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 66c | 1,636$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.07 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 63c | 1,285$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.43 | 1,041 | 48%500 W · 541 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 64c | 1,257$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.2 | 677 | 56.3%381 W · 296 L | +34.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed No | 7c | 1,029$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +251%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 63c | 1,008$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.07 | 725 | 50.2%364 W · 361 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 912.22$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.7 | 772 | 48.8%377 W · 395 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 62c | 696.07$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.97 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 49c | 617.96$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.43 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 37c | 547.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.75 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 63c | 506$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.78 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked No | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 14c | 466$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 838 | 45%377 W · 461 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 37c | 257.56$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.26 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 53c | 244.91$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.66 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 63c | 233.76$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.27 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 10c | 218.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 537 | 47.9%257 W · 280 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 63c | 202.7$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 193.19$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.71 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 31c | 156.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 9c | 143$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 81 | 35.8%29 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 10c | 137.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 33c | 99.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…0a1dbacked No | 64c | 84.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Yes | 37c | 76.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 50c | 73.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 42c | 71.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 63c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 52c | 59.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 29c | 51.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 56c | 41.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 65c | 37.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 37c | 33.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 69c | 33.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 33.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 63c | 31.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 308 | 51%157 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Yes | 36c | 30.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 331 | 42.9%142 W · 189 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 57c | 25.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 408 | 44.4%181 W · 227 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 67c | 20.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 73c | 18.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 79c | 13.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 222 | 37.8%84 W · 138 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KAA Gent win on 2026-08-27?this page
- Will Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent end in a draw?No won
- Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.