Tennis · resolved market
Tigre 2: Miguel Damas vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9348430038216bf4225f2c8c551455b0f29731616d1b5b31d638848049406adf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Damasof Damas, Jover
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Jover | 48c | 3,526$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.11 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Damas | 61c | 1,536$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.16 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Damas | 52c | 1,148$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.34 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Jover | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Jover | 55c | 802.16$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.19 | 1,136 | 50%568 W · 568 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Damas | 65c | 280.59$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Damas | 50c | 278.44$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.42 | 1,981 | 46.2%916 W · 1,065 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…fa8ebacked Jover | 49c | 260.59$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Damas | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 2,053 | 47.8%982 W · 1,071 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Damas | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Damas | 53c | 190.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.47 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba1…2ffcbacked Jover | 50c | 149.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Damas | 63c | 143$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 4,510 | 51.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L | +135.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Jover | 51c | 141.18$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Damas | 80c | 137.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jover | 49c | 127$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 6,550 | 54.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L | +287.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Damas | 69c | 125$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Jover | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Damas | 60c | 112$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Jover | 49c | 101.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Damas | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Jover | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Jover | 45c | 99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Damas | 55c | 95.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Jover | 49c | 80.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Damas | 47c | 74.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 8,057 | 50.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L | +90.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jover | 18c | 70.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Damas | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Damas | 71c | 65.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Jover | 32c | 63.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…6736backed Jover | 49c | 60.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…e270backed Jover | 51c | 60.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Damas | 61c | 54.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 6,678 | 50.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L | +265.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7af3…caf2backed Jover | 30c | 51.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Damas | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed Damas | 53c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jover | 30c | 36.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 6,867 | 48.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L | +61.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Damas | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Damas | 58c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jover | 45c | 31.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 3,891 | 35%1,362 W · 2,529 L | +93.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked Damas | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Damas | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Damas | 50c | 24.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked Damas | 50c | 20.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Jover | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…b2cdbacked Jover | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…2365backed Damas | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.