Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC UNA Strassen win on 2026-07-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x935c51edf3343b0993fe0bfa4ff31bcccab177b81b7837ccd7f7731c4b9fb987
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 65c | 19,999$13,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,987.31 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 34c | 6,011$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.88 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 5c | 5,518$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.7 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.97 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 63c | 726.29$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.12 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 64c | 515.63$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.63 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 4c | 498.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Yes | 67c | 460$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 34c | 440.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.77 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 7c | 429.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 34c | 397.06$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 16c | 349.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Yes | 63c | 332.83$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.15 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 65c | 302$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.81 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked No | 16c | 286$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Yes | 62c | 273.96$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed No | 34c | 157.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 66c | 147.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 9c | 125.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 63c | 123.83$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 63c | 111.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 65c | 101.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -8.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 38c | 97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 62c | 97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 64c | 84.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed No | 34c | 75.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 35c | 75.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 36c | 72.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed No | 35c | 62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 34c | 60.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed No | 34c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed No | 34c | 57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 38c | 54.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 63c | 54.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 33c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 34c | 48.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 63c | 44.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Yes | 63c | 27.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 66c | 19.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 63c | 19.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC UNA Strassen win on 2026-07-14?this page
- Will SP La Fiorita vs. FC UNA Strassen end in a draw?No won
- Will SP La Fiorita win on 2026-07-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.