Lol · resolved market
LoL: Solary vs Lille Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Group
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x940c21f2a572757795fc16b9e0c11ff9e15f342790f9a479e590d05a3c5dbb68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof Solary, Lille Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x671f…328cbacked Lille Esport | 15c | 8,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Lille Esport | 15c | 6,081$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.18 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Lille Esport | 15c | 3,051$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.63 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Lille Esport | 14c | 1,391$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.67 | 414 | 33.6%139 W · 275 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Lille Esport | 1c | 1,240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Lille Esport | 15c | 1,000$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.71 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Lille Esport | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Lille Esport | 14c | 800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…e04fbacked Lille Esport | 15c | 773.33$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Lille Esport | 16c | 644.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Lille Esport | 16c | 631$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…f85fbacked Lille Esport | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Lille Esport | 13c | 536.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 148 | 35.1%52 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lille Esport | 12c | 478.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lille Esport | 14c | 401.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Lille Esport | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Lille Esport | 16c | 346.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | -15.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Lille Esport | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 398 | 32.7%130 W · 268 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lille Esport | 13c | 281.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Lille Esport | 14c | 231$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 669 | 42.9%287 W · 382 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Lille Esport | 12c | 206.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Lille Esport | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Lille Esport | 15c | 192.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lille Esport | 13c | 185.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Lille Esport | 15c | 155$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Lille Esport | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lille Esport | 13c | 128.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Lille Esport | 15c | 126.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Lille Esport | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Lille Esport | 14c | 103.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Lille Esport | 14c | 102$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lille Esport | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Lille Esport | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Lille Esport | 15c | 99.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Lille Esport | 14c | 97.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed Lille Esport | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…d393backed Lille Esport | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.