Lol · resolved market
LoL: Brod n Friends vs DMG Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x942a2a581f75fa3bd903d03379f2f6e08f43d237fadf02c3821e9a7ff3c5191f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DMG Esportsof Brod n Friends, DMG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Brod n Friends | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 3.3%2 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Brod n Friends | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed Brod n Friends | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5aa…e7eebacked DMG Esports | 41c | 1,287$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…71ebbacked Brod n Friends | 56c | 800.99$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.55 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed Brod n Friends | 54c | 630$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.44 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Brod n Friends | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2364…18f2backed DMG Esports | 44c | 415.23$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.53 | 90 | 68.9%62 W · 28 L | +13.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Brod n Friends | 47c | 414.47$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.49 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Brod n Friends | 58c | 336.43$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.88 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Brod n Friends | 23c | 238.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Brod n Friends | 10c | 212$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Brod n Friends | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked DMG Esports | 44c | 208.35$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.63 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed DMG Esports | 55c | 196$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.14 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Brod n Friends | 39c | 190.53$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…f560backed Brod n Friends | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed DMG Esports | 50c | 172$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed DMG Esports | 51c | 160.8$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…1211backed DMG Esports | 73c | 154.55$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Brod n Friends | 49c | 150$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Brod n Friends | 32c | 133.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Brod n Friends | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Brod n Friends | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 634 | 26%165 W · 469 L | -90.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Brod n Friends | 62c | 93.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 261 | 64.4%168 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Brod n Friends | 57c | 89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Brod n Friends | 32c | 88.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Brod n Friends | 63c | 87.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 278 | 43.9%122 W · 156 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed DMG Esports | 41c | 86.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Brod n Friends | 36c | 78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed DMG Esports | 62c | 71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked DMG Esports | 70c | 67.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc780…40a4backed DMG Esports | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked DMG Esports | 42c | 57.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Brod n Friends | 52c | 56.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d4…a3d5backed Brod n Friends | 59c | 52.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…caf8backed DMG Esports | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 176 | 61.9%109 W · 67 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed DMG Esports | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755f…2cffbacked DMG Esports | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 251 | 62.9%158 W · 93 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Brod n Friends | 57c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 343 | 40.5%139 W · 204 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked DMG Esports | 57c | 45.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…ed08backed DMG Esports | 24c | 45.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked DMG Esports | 56c | 42.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d12ebacked DMG Esports | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Brod n Friends | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e6…0283backed DMG Esports | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…cf07backed DMG Esports | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…5e34backed DMG Esports | 28c | 35.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 100 | 17%17 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed DMG Esports | 36c | 33.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb491…4400backed DMG Esports | 35c | 31.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Brod n Friends | 40c | 30.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…c227backed DMG Esports | 51c | 29.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 80 | 83.8%67 W · 13 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed DMG Esports | 51c | 28.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 113 | 69%78 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed DMG Esports | 39c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 243 | 56.4%137 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed DMG Esports | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed DMG Esports | 47c | 26.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Brod n Friends | 46c | 23.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…7acbbacked DMG Esports | 58c | 22.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked DMG Esports | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 338 | 57.7%195 W · 143 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5064…12d0backed DMG Esports | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Brod n Friends vs DMG Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Brod n Friends vs DMG Esports (BO3) - NLC Regular SeasonDMG Esports won
- LoL: Brod n Friends vs DMG Esports - Game 2 WinnerDMG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.