Tennis · resolved market
Zagreb: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Luka Pavlovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x942c432cbc4cf89cfd07ba9c25fc9b272cda615b7f00fea5180456fcfdcc7ca0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joao Lucas Da Silvaof Joao Lucas Da Silva, Luka Pavlovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 52c | 6,540$3,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,154.21 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c35cbacked Luka Pavlovic | 53c | 5,407$2,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Luka Pavlovic | 22c | 4,883$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.13 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 68c | 2,848$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.84 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Luka Pavlovic | 51c | 1,688$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.1 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 57c | 1,559$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.11 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Luka Pavlovic | 50c | 1,314$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.66 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luka Pavlovic | 20c | 1,051$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.13 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Luka Pavlovic | 26c | 1,014$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.62 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 53c | 791.51$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.88 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Luka Pavlovic | 46c | 689.57$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.53 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 55c | 611.1$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.86 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Luka Pavlovic | 34c | 450.34$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.32 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 54c | 396.15$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.25 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…dcb7backed Luka Pavlovic | 6c | 342.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Luka Pavlovic | 28c | 282.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.38 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 47c | 277.05$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.53 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Luka Pavlovic | 17c | 264.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 384 | 22.4%86 W · 298 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 57c | 264.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Luka Pavlovic | 50c | 261.81$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.51 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Luka Pavlovic | 22c | 220.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Luka Pavlovic | 42c | 215.75$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 65c | 212.3$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Luka Pavlovic | 41c | 206.23$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Luka Pavlovic | 39c | 199.15$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed Luka Pavlovic | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 547 | 44.4%243 W · 304 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fb…c9a9backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 67c | 149.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Luka Pavlovic | 42c | 142.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Luka Pavlovic | 48c | 141.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Luka Pavlovic | 34c | 127.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Luka Pavlovic | 49c | 127$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 50c | 120.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Luka Pavlovic | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Luka Pavlovic | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 66c | 98.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Luka Pavlovic | 34c | 95.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 43c | 90.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…1e80backed Luka Pavlovic | 57c | 87.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…b4b6backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Luka Pavlovic | 35c | 71.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 61c | 60.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Luka Pavlovic | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5928backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Luka Pavlovic | 50c | 51.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 77c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 42c | 50.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Luka Pavlovic | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 50c | 38.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 49c | 37.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Luka Pavlovic | 53c | 37.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 67c | 37.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 47c | 35.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Luka Pavlovic | 55c | 35.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Luka Pavlovic | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…e46abacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 100 | 70%70 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294d…37f2backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 50c | 23.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Luka Pavlovic | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Luka Pavlovic | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…fba8backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 78c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 380 | 74.5%283 W · 97 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.