Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Alabama State Hornets vs. Grambling State Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x947c5593de5f71274ac624d9b9f3d8d1802f08c45c6d529d4bf1a776dae4122d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grambling State Tigersof Alabama State Hornets, Grambling State Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Alabama State Hornets | 41c | 1,230$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.69 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Grambling State Tigers | 62c | 742$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.7 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Alabama State Hornets | 19c | 450.93$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.79 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Grambling State Tigers | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Grambling State Tigers | 57c | 349.2$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Alabama State Hornets | 34c | 290.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alabama State Hornets | 34c | 232.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Grambling State Tigers | 59c | 215$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Alabama State Hornets | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Grambling State Tigers | 69c | 184.66$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alabama State Hornets | 31c | 183.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Alabama State Hornets | 32c | 182.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Alabama State Hornets | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Grambling State Tigers | 69c | 157$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Alabama State Hornets | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Alabama State Hornets | 30c | 143$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alabama State Hornets | 17c | 142.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Grambling State Tigers | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Grambling State Tigers | 59c | 141.71$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Alabama State Hornets | 30c | 110.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Alabama State Hornets | 38c | 97.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alabama State Hornets | 30c | 96.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Alabama State Hornets | 16c | 85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Grambling State Tigers | 71c | 77.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Grambling State Tigers | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Grambling State Tigers | 59c | 73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…c819backed Alabama State Hornets | 21c | 66.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Grambling State Tigers | 63c | 61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Grambling State Tigers | 71c | 51.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Grambling State Tigers | 66c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Grambling State Tigers | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Grambling State Tigers | 70c | 18.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grambling State Tigers | 80c | 16.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alabama State Hornets vs. Grambling State Tigersthis page
- Spread: Grambling State Tigers (-5.5)Grambling State Tigers won
- Spread: Grambling State Tigers (-6.5)Grambling State Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.