MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95e3b6ff5bb941bc3dd66990e620f8a528bd3d89ec7eb024aee6734c09d12c34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Reds, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $702,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $717,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $702,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 549 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Reds | 50c | 418,801$209,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209,400.54 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 50c | 372,630$186,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186,318.8 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Pirates | 50c | 45,000$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,500 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Pirates | 50c | 29,331$14,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,665.66 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Pirates | 19c | 19,738$3,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,660.55 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…7ebbbacked Pirates | 0c | 18,981$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Reds | 50c | 12,246$6,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,116.84 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 54c | 10,373$5,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,818.72 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Reds | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 51c | 9,734$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,734.63 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates | 50c | 7,333$3,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,666.5 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Reds | 50c | 6,775$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,387.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 50c | 6,666$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Pirates | 37c | 6,194$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 37c | 5,356$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Pirates | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.98 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pirates | 41c | 3,576$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.12 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Reds | 51c | 3,125$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.27 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 51c | 3,081$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.44 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Pirates | 50c | 2,980$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.78 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Reds | 65c | 2,449$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.36 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Pirates | 49c | 2,418$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.82 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 33c | 2,150$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.54 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Reds | 73c | 2,081$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.31 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Reds | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548b…6155backed Pirates | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 46c | 1,760$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.4 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Reds | 48c | 1,665$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.85 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Pirates | 53c | 1,522$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.43 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Pirates | 50c | 1,506$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Reds | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Reds | 59c | 1,284$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.22 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Pirates | 51c | 1,217$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.79 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 61c | 1,205$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.51 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Reds | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Pirates | 51c | 1,172$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Reds | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Reds | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Reds | 70c | 973.37$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.03 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Pirates | 50c | 951.89$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.95 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Pirates | 51c | 943.13$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 49c | 923.55$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.08 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 49c | 906.12$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.12 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Reds | 49c | 905.73$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.92 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Reds | 50c | 838.04$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.72 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Pirates | 43c | 821.91$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.41 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Pirates | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Pirates | 49c | 771$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Reds | 59c | 751.37$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.89 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…5279backed Reds | 64c | 748.08$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.6 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Pirates | 4c | 720$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Pirates | 51c | 696.51$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.22 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Reds | 52c | 642.7$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.45 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Reds | 49c | 608.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.33 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Pirates | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Reds | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Reds | 54c | 514$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.02 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Reds | 77c | 506.34$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.41 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Reds | 75c | 500.03$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.94 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pirates | 49c | 431.36$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.02 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Pirates | 51c | 410.48$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.34 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 49c | 408$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Reds | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pirates | 48c | 387.66$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.08 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…ad5ebacked Pirates | 13c | 386.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 59c | 379.35$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.64 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Reds | 50c | 360$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.4 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Reds | 56c | 354.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.81 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 31c | 322.35$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Pirates | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Reds | 51c | 320$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 49c | 310$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Pirates | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c8…b543backed Pirates | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3da…8387backed Reds | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0945…3d5ebacked Pirates | 50c | 270$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5e…b452backed Reds | 51c | 264.71$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pirates | 34c | 261.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.43 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Pirates | 55c | 253.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Reds | 51c | 251.66$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.36 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Reds | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Pirates | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pirates | 40c | 238.58$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Reds | 59c | 219.5$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.62 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Reds | 79c | 214.85$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pirates | 29c | 213.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Reds | 53c | 206.08$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.88 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…eda5backed Reds | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…4ef4backed Reds | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…490bbacked Reds | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…8d34backed Pirates | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…afb5backed Pirates | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…2612backed Reds | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…b555backed Reds | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…88e6backed Reds | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…c9cabacked Reds | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbf…f78fbacked Pirates | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…d782backed Reds | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…9033backed Reds | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…2fa8backed Pirates | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.