Fifa International · resolved market
Morocco vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96ba5e21a908e864cd33ce5a893320bec91daf5690c5bb557857291f2f8bc4a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 54c | 1,132$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.95 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Under | 46c | 891$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.86 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Over | 53c | 761.88$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.88 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…4ff2backed Under | 45c | 660$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Over | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Under | 47c | 587.23$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Under | 47c | 583.48$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Over | 53c | 501$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.47 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 54c | 231$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Under | 35c | 159.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Over | 65c | 152.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 54c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 53c | 111.79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Over | 53c | 109.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Over | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 31.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 53c | 30.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Team to Take First CornerMorocco won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.