Fifa International · resolved market
Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 5.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11a9961b78e859762144372bee5d626d0531be4c50197b3e80a5df30d61a1e56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Under | 43c | 1,159$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 62c | 799.97$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.99 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 40c | 657.5$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 67c | 649.28$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.68 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Under | 44c | 548.97$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.55 | 241 | 48.1%116 W · 125 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Under | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 228 | 46.5%106 W · 122 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…4e2dbacked Under | 40c | 454.6$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 30c | 436.89$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.51 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 39c | 291.38$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.38 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 39c | 272.93$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.63 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd842…775bbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Under | 36c | 123.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…0fc0backed Over | 56c | 103.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 70c | 99.41$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 58c | 91.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…f38ebacked Over | 58c | 91.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 30c | 87.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 56c | 85.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 30c | 55.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 60c | 53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…8704backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 39c | 45.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cf…80febacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 65c | 33.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 25.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 57c | 25.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 57c | 24.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc2…e485backed Over | 56c | 20.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 194 | 50.5%98 W · 96 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Team to Take First CornerMorocco won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.