Tennis · resolved market
Pozoblanco: Pavel Lagutin vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96e4dfad974c707f0694797aab10e0013cdbb63e26412db1ea57e93b8c9f3c8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alejo Sanchez Quilezof Pavel Lagutin, Alejo Sanchez Quilez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pavel Lagutin | 4c | 7,760$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.82 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70f…ed45backed Pavel Lagutin | 2c | 3,780$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Pavel Lagutin | 41c | 848.58$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…dfa2backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 65c | 616.93$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.93 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Pavel Lagutin | 40c | 506.88$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.75 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Pavel Lagutin | 29c | 396$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Pavel Lagutin | 35c | 286.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Pavel Lagutin | 34c | 270.13$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Pavel Lagutin | 36c | 240$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Pavel Lagutin | 7c | 193.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 67c | 168.43$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Pavel Lagutin | 26c | 136.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Pavel Lagutin | 42c | 95.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Pavel Lagutin | 21c | 94.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Pavel Lagutin | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pavel Lagutin | 20c | 66.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Pavel Lagutin | 41c | 66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Pavel Lagutin | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 58c | 57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 70c | 53.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Pavel Lagutin | 33c | 50.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Pavel Lagutin | 26c | 43.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Pavel Lagutin | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 63c | 39.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 76c | 36.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Pavel Lagutin | 38c | 27.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Pavel Lagutin | 41c | 27.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 59c | 25.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 63c | 17.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.