TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Austin: Lulu Sun vs Paula Badosa

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paula Badosaof Lulu Sun, Paula Badosa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,707

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,707 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0b96…b053backed Paula Badosa64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44022553.8%121 W · 104 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Paula Badosa73c3,606$2,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.332,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Lulu Sun29c2,804$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.986,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Lulu Sun43c2,425$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.61,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Lulu Sun37c2,210$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.8537540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Paula Badosa64c2,185$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.915242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bcc…84c1backed Paula Badosa60c1,665$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66610341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Lulu Sun33c1,472$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Paula Badosa63c1,240$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.897141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Lulu Sun18c1,113$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Lulu Sun2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20382.6%1 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-83.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Lulu Sun40c724.07$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.4828835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lulu Sun30c595.14$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.482,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Lulu Sun47c583.69$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.211,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Paula Badosa65c430.44$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.772,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Lulu Sun37c407.26$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6170652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Lulu Sun30c399.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12095846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x740f…bf3cbacked Lulu Sun15c389$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.353821.1%8 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb58…a62ebacked Paula Badosa78c376.01$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7221767.7%147 W · 70 L-0.8wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Paula Badosa66c360$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12359348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Lulu Sun42c357.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15094549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Lulu Sun40c312.5$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12569350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Lulu Sun29c300.34$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8867836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Paula Badosa63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11153457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Lulu Sun44c299.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13260943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Paula Badosa64c290.98$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7596755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Lulu Sun41c270.65$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.961,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Paula Badosa60c250.74$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7421959.4%130 W · 89 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Paula Badosa62c242.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1965849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed Lulu Sun42c234.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.549530.5%29 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Paula Badosa79c183$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.511,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Paula Badosa60c167.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9284963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5160…ac0bbacked Paula Badosa80c166.86$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9710469.2%72 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Paula Badosa62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Paula Badosa70c159.44$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1138147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Paula Badosa62c138.04$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.821,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Paula Badosa59c128$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4885748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d2a…d5d0backed Paula Badosa77c127.52$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3324762.3%154 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Paula Badosa79c120$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Lulu Sun42c118.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5236333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Lulu Sun38c106.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.232,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked Paula Badosa62c106$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4912538.4%48 W · 77 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Lulu Sun34c101.02$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.726,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Lulu Sun38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3824547.8%117 W · 128 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Paula Badosa60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4011,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Paula Badosa63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3746649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Paula Badosa66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3438268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad41…d390backed Paula Badosa80c97.3$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Lulu Sun33c95.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3361953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Paula Badosa59c83.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.143,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Lulu Sun40c79$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.61,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lulu Sun36c67.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.328,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Paula Badosa59c65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6543353.6%232 W · 201 L+32.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Lulu Sun36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf4…8c98backed Paula Badosa66c55.39$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.77757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x674c…6dabbacked Paula Badosa73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.795455.6%30 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x387e…ca5dbacked Lulu Sun49c53.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3710046%46 W · 54 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Paula Badosa62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Lulu Sun34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1735559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Paula Badosa59c43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6324244.6%108 W · 134 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Paula Badosa71c39.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2443058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Lulu Sun39c39.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.481,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Paula Badosa53c35.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.727,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Lulu Sun32c35.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.293,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Paula Badosa59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.981933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd1…7040backed Paula Badosa79c31.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6523256.9%132 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed Paula Badosa62c31.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7512765.4%83 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Paula Badosa78c30.76$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.921172%152 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Paula Badosa67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.91,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Paula Badosa60c29.19$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6877047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Lulu Sun41c29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8927664.1%177 W · 99 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Paula Badosa70c28.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6153752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Paula Badosa59c27.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.067,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa639…7426backed Paula Badosa58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8613864.5%89 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Paula Badosa63c25.17$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.311,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc11d…421bbacked Paula Badosa69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6810967%73 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Paula Badosa69c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.443,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Paula Badosa61c19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3837342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x320f…1420backed Paula Badosa63c19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9522258.1%129 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Paula Badosa73c15.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0926349.4%130 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.