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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. La Salle Explorers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saint Joseph's Hawksof Saint Joseph's Hawks, La Salle Explorers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,539
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,539 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38c2…d3a7backed Saint Joseph's Hawks60c12,860$7,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,203.4216056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked La Salle Explorers41c8,180$3,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,361.8712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked La Salle Explorers40c3,742$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.011,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks57c2,610$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.46043.3%26 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked La Salle Explorers41c932.34$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.422,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked La Salle Explorers45c609.09$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.0911252.7%59 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked La Salle Explorers42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21081453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Saint Joseph's Hawks55c478.14$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.163,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed La Salle Explorers45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked La Salle Explorers23c439.78$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.151,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked La Salle Explorers40c427.24$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.95,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed La Salle Explorers42c225$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.52,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed La Salle Explorers40c206.73$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.43,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed La Salle Explorers37c200$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7336845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed La Salle Explorers35c181$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.823,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed La Salle Explorers26c170.42$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7466831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked La Salle Explorers42c149.24$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.681,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks69c116.09$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0918167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.094,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Saint Joseph's Hawks77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Saint Joseph's Hawks59c81.24$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.314060%24 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked La Salle Explorers41c75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7522552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks63c69.03$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6170349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Saint Joseph's Hawks80c66.39$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.472,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Saint Joseph's Hawks70c62.55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9925544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed La Salle Explorers23c56.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.96243.5%27 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked La Salle Explorers45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522656.2%127 W · 99 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks56c53.51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5135646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed La Salle Explorers45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked La Salle Explorers44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked La Salle Explorers23c47.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8210144.6%45 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed La Salle Explorers41c38.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.615,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed La Salle Explorers44c35.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.699848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed La Salle Explorers37c34.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.761,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed La Salle Explorers36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.864658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Saint Joseph's Hawks58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.652353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks76c19.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.811,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.