Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bucharest: Matei Florin Breazu vs Michele Mecarelli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9778583832a56be5a76f523129c9faf7a9c61f2506d0878a1d8deafdf192e511
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matei Florin Breazuof Matei Florin Breazu, Michele Mecarelli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matei Florin Breazu | 55c | 3,544$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.46 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Michele Mecarelli | 48c | 2,888$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.57 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Matei Florin Breazu | 52c | 598.67$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.28 | 487 | 56.5%275 W · 212 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Michele Mecarelli | 50c | 357.54$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.19 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Matei Florin Breazu | 30c | 321.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.19 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Michele Mecarelli | 35c | 220$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39ce…e2bdbacked Matei Florin Breazu | 48c | 206.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.24 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Michele Mecarelli | 51c | 196.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Michele Mecarelli | 45c | 176.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Matei Florin Breazu | 30c | 140$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Michele Mecarelli | 41c | 112.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Michele Mecarelli | 47c | 89.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Michele Mecarelli | 32c | 82.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Michele Mecarelli | 47c | 68.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Matei Florin Breazu | 63c | 54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Michele Mecarelli | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Michele Mecarelli | 62c | 48.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Michele Mecarelli | 55c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Matei Florin Breazu | 55c | 40.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Michele Mecarelli | 44c | 31.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Michele Mecarelli | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Matei Florin Breazu | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Michele Mecarelli | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed Matei Florin Breazu | 49c | 24.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Michele Mecarelli | 49c | 23.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Matei Florin Breazu | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.