CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Villainous vs Overtake (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9840f0e17272a097fc93b8127d263e0ed21cc2b57032e9849a5be634838229e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overtakeof Villainous, Overtake
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5135…7217backed Overtake | 52c | 1,220$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.02 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Overtake | 55c | 433.15$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.79 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed Villainous | 48c | 412.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Overtake | 46c | 407.22$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.25 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Villainous | 47c | 359$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.08 | 531 | 35%186 W · 345 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Villainous | 48c | 327.59$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.48 | 562 | 39.5%222 W · 340 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Villainous | 34c | 320.78$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Villainous | 48c | 298.8$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.42 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed Villainous | 64c | 290.05$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.89 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Villainous | 48c | 271$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.08 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Villainous | 51c | 195.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Villainous | 55c | 187.36$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 434 | 57.1%248 W · 186 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Overtake | 61c | 184.13$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Overtake | 52c | 169.31$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 486 | 54.5%265 W · 221 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Overtake | 60c | 148.08$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed Overtake | 52c | 138.56$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Overtake | 52c | 138.48$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Villainous | 52c | 137$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71a9…da0abacked Villainous | 65c | 133.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Overtake | 35c | 122.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.82 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Villainous | 48c | 114.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 489 | 41.9%205 W · 284 L | -14.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Overtake | 43c | 105.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 815 | 51.7%421 W · 394 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Overtake | 52c | 103.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Overtake | 51c | 102.03$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Overtake | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…a687backed Villainous | 68c | 94.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Villainous | 56c | 93.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Villainous | 25c | 91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Villainous | 42c | 81.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Villainous | 52c | 71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe67f…c3f3backed Villainous | 49c | 57.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Villainous | 56c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Overtake | 61c | 56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed Villainous | 36c | 52.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed Villainous | 36c | 52.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Villainous | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Overtake | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Overtake | 54c | 46.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 1,051 | 57.2%601 W · 450 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Overtake | 53c | 43.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7a…b8bdbacked Overtake | 75c | 40.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Villainous | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Overtake | 67c | 39.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Villainous | 35c | 37.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Villainous | 47c | 36.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13bd…a6c5backed Overtake | 45c | 33.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Villainous | 36c | 31.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…3fa1backed Villainous | 65c | 30.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08e…1256backed Overtake | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Overtake | 61c | 29.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 724 | 51.2%371 W · 353 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…76b5backed Overtake | 57c | 28.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Overtake | 52c | 25.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Villainous | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed Villainous | 44c | 23.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Villainous | 48c | 22.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…2ed6backed Overtake | 59c | 20.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.