Champions League · resolved market
Will AC Milan beat Slovan Bratislava?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x984e7a5b13efaa16fa08d0de72d2d2f9e0aa9d68938f8e222810aa64aba1ae96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 34c | 4,002$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.19 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 1c | 3,941$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +285.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Yes | 65c | 3,859$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 17c | 3,456$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.5 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 18c | 1,862$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.09 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 20c | 1,354$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.25 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 17c | 1,114$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.86 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Yes | 70c | 682.06$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.99 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 21c | 593.21$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.71 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 19c | 573.55$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.68 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 23c | 516.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.47 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked No | 19c | 499.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed No | 17c | 341.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 77c | 319.24$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacd0…e030backed Yes | 78c | 206.02$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…79d0backed No | 20c | 175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 40c | 126.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 79c | 119.86$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 24c | 76.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 66c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00d…b5a9backed Yes | 65c | 50.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 67c | 50.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa256…fc1ebacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan beat Slovan Bratislava?this page
- Will Slovan Bratislava beat AC Milan?No won
- Will the match between Slovan Bratislava and AC Milan end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.