CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99985181c91c6877eca4f63e04e11a3321a4f398d900aa982e11293e71499dab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof Infinite, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed SPARTA | 51c | 1,488$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.61 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SPARTA | 59c | 984.23$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.22 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…52fabacked Infinite | 66c | 906.61$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked SPARTA | 10c | 658.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.38 | 431 | 37.8%163 W · 268 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Infinite | 49c | 392.95$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.44 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked SPARTA | 41c | 331.94$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.05 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Infinite | 42c | 320.96$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.58 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Infinite | 45c | 284.19$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.91 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed SPARTA | 32c | 231$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.98 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed Infinite | 64c | 226.07$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.73 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…ff46backed Infinite | 24c | 209.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SPARTA | 57c | 196.13$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…76c6backed SPARTA | 52c | 193.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.56 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Infinite | 40c | 188.23$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked SPARTA | 57c | 182.74$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed SPARTA | 73c | 178.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 316 | 73.7%233 W · 83 L | +23.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Infinite | 48c | 168.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f49…2285backed Infinite | 59c | 166.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SPARTA | 61c | 145$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed SPARTA | 63c | 128$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SPARTA | 31c | 124.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.39 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked SPARTA | 41c | 116.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 328 | 40.2%132 W · 196 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed SPARTA | 40c | 115.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked SPARTA | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 204 | 44.1%90 W · 114 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Infinite | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked SPARTA | 40c | 81.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked SPARTA | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…0038backed Infinite | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Infinite | 20c | 79.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…44c9backed Infinite | 67c | 76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Infinite | 55c | 73.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…b4e9backed Infinite | 49c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Infinite | 70c | 70.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 382 | 69.4%265 W · 117 L | +30.8wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Infinite | 28c | 70.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 620 | 48.2%299 W · 321 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SPARTA | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Infinite | 18c | 58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1,303 | 26.5%345 W · 958 L | -89.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Infinite | 45c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked SPARTA | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…04fabacked SPARTA | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed Infinite | 66c | 39.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | +15.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed SPARTA | 35c | 38.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 690 | 41.9%289 W · 401 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed Infinite | 59c | 34.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Infinite | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Infinite | 43c | 26.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Infinite | 75c | 26.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 409 | 71.9%294 W · 115 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked SPARTA | 42c | 25.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 232 | 35.3%82 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked SPARTA | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Infinite | 66c | 24.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Infinite | 42c | 24.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Infinite | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Infinite | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 2,603 | 52.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Infinite | 80c | 18.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 182 | 81.3%148 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 PlayoffsSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs SPARTA - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.