Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Chia Yi Tsao vs Amy Stevens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99b24d7b64ba9c80153cc8569df04c355f2f3f746ed9cb6775a84c5947f551bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chia Yi Tsaoof Chia Yi Tsao, Amy Stevens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Amy Stevens | 63c | 19,132$12,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,064.37 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x060f…5a9dbacked Chia Yi Tsao | 52c | 19,059$9,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,228.13 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Chia Yi Tsao | 17c | 8,271$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,851.18 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Amy Stevens | 44c | 4,755$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.77 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Amy Stevens | 14c | 2,382$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.03 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…39a0backed Amy Stevens | 12c | 954.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.39 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chia Yi Tsao | 63c | 764.22$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.59 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Chia Yi Tsao | 34c | 509$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Amy Stevens | 63c | 413$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.73 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Chia Yi Tsao | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Amy Stevens | 72c | 367$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.98 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Amy Stevens | 59c | 318$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.25 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Amy Stevens | 60c | 255.84$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.84 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Amy Stevens | 54c | 231.62$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.08 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Amy Stevens | 71c | 221$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.07 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Amy Stevens | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Amy Stevens | 57c | 196$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.44 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Amy Stevens | 80c | 173.12$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.07 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Amy Stevens | 54c | 138.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Amy Stevens | 62c | 137.2$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Amy Stevens | 66c | 130$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Amy Stevens | 32c | 129.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Amy Stevens | 66c | 126$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed Chia Yi Tsao | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Amy Stevens | 51c | 107.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 881 | 57.9%510 W · 371 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Chia Yi Tsao | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Chia Yi Tsao | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 373 | 54.2%202 W · 171 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Amy Stevens | 66c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Amy Stevens | 43c | 87.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Amy Stevens | 63c | 78.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Amy Stevens | 50c | 56.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4053…d21abacked Chia Yi Tsao | 74c | 50.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Amy Stevens | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Amy Stevens | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…a989backed Amy Stevens | 44c | 35.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Amy Stevens | 53c | 31.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Amy Stevens | 45c | 31.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Chia Yi Tsao | 50c | 31.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Amy Stevens | 50c | 29.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…cf8abacked Amy Stevens | 62c | 26.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…83a6backed Amy Stevens | 68c | 23.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Amy Stevens | 45c | 22.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Chia Yi Tsao | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Chia Yi Tsao | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Chia Yi Tsao | 55c | 18.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.