Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99f7bf1b34dc49c04cd17ce4e7221a8d31588b84d8d9a82a79979a8b1843a8a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8302…8b44backed Yes | 15c | 1,936$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.51 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x886d…c586backed Yes | 22c | 495.67$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.72 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 3c | 478.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…8674backed Yes | 12c | 455.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 467 | 33.4%156 W · 311 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 19c | 409.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 379.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 362.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…2769backed Yes | 22c | 259.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…cf6dbacked Yes | 17c | 249.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 250 | 37.6%94 W · 156 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 78c | 194.42$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 175.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 22c | 172.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 25c | 162.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed05…9368backed Yes | 21c | 160.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…3f6dbacked Yes | 16c | 155.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 75c | 154.52$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 38c | 148.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf228…8accbacked No | 73c | 132.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b62…c3cbbacked Yes | 35c | 131.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 76c | 127.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb14d…8f95backed Yes | 23c | 124.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 72c | 108.47$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…c103backed Yes | 25c | 101$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd210…92dfbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 462 | 32.9%152 W · 310 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f12…aa7cbacked Yes | 21c | 99.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ea…a65fbacked Yes | 23c | 93.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 76c | 81.87$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 22c | 75.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9290…1257backed Yes | 18c | 75.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 50c | 69.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 24c | 65.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…a21dbacked Yes | 16c | 63.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed No | 79c | 63.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…7007backed Yes | 23c | 63.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe508…5885backed Yes | 21c | 60.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 53c | 60.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0964…9da4backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 79c | 57.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6536…0cf6backed Yes | 40c | 56.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…91f8backed No | 77c | 54.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 77 | 77.9%60 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 62c | 51.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 77c | 50.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e08…59d2backed Yes | 46c | 49.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 80c | 48.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…44a4backed Yes | 25c | 48.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c4…b153backed No | 80c | 47.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…ca83backed No | 65c | 46.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce7e…4019backed Yes | 23c | 44.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 76c | 44.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 175 | 70.3%123 W · 52 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…5bf0backed Yes | 28c | 44.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb2…14d6backed No | 75c | 41.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…c9e1backed No | 34c | 41.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0321…19fabacked Yes | 51c | 38.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…af19backed Yes | 49c | 37.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a8…7e66backed Yes | 30c | 37.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf466…fce0backed Yes | 28c | 37.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 38c | 36.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6029…231abacked No | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…cd72backed No | 77c | 34.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00db…c663backed No | 72c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed No | 76c | 32.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…f9abbacked Yes | 37c | 30.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…0759backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 267 | 38.6%103 W · 164 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 77c | 25.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54b3…f0bebacked No | 46c | 24.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 82 | 70.7%58 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 57c | 23.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 68c | 22.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4dd…8744backed No | 77c | 21.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec1…07a5backed No | 72c | 20.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 247 | 68.4%169 W · 78 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…65afbacked No | 65c | 19.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 277 | 71.5%198 W · 79 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ef…2c9cbacked No | 78c | 18.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…e770backed No | 56c | 18.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…43b9backed No | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 70c | 16.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…a5fabacked No | 72c | 15.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 190 | 59.5%113 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3fc9backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 78c | 14.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or below on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 17?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on April 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.