Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88617d500f26db94ab3099583cf5475e5ad91783e6a8db7963e0cb114a03a2db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bad…b337backed No | 4c | 1,726$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 323 | 10.5%34 W · 289 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 39c | 770.28$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.26 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…8674backed Yes | 39c | 568.69$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.75 | 467 | 33.4%156 W · 311 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 22c | 538.97$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.92 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 24c | 434.33$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.18 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed No | 17c | 419.7$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 22c | 414.53$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.16 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 24c | 372.28$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.85 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 344.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 77c | 252.77$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.14 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 66c | 243.31$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.58 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…da69backed No | 16c | 183.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…a76abacked Yes | 57c | 177.61$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…abd9backed Yes | 57c | 176.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 27c | 175.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.16 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…2769backed Yes | 24c | 155.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.54 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…e889backed Yes | 60c | 128.3$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 165 | 29.1%48 W · 117 L | +12.9wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 30c | 122.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.58 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 72c | 122.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…5b2abacked No | 76c | 120.25$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 23c | 117.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.11 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 31c | 115.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.72 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…a79bbacked No | 60c | 110.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 132 | 15.9%21 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd210…92dfbacked No | 78c | 108.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 20c | 105.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 22c | 100.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 79c | 100.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.13 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e3…f004backed Yes | 28c | 99.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ea…a65fbacked Yes | 12c | 93.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked Yes | 12c | 92.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…c103backed Yes | 12c | 92.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.06 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f1…f029backed No | 65c | 87.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…fb31backed Yes | 13c | 84.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | +18.5wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…6b01backed Yes | 18c | 75.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…f9abbacked Yes | 26c | 71.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…7007backed Yes | 31c | 68.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 17c | 66.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b3…f0bebacked No | 59c | 63.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 82 | 70.7%58 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 79c | 59.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 79c | 59.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb14d…8f95backed Yes | 32c | 57.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0032…e886backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…cd72backed No | 69c | 54.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 72c | 49.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 29c | 44.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 72c | 44.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed No | 66c | 44.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 41c | 42.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…9b00backed No | 79c | 41.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 202 | 66.8%135 W · 67 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…ca83backed No | 68c | 40.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Yes | 33c | 40.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 26c | 38.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 48c | 38.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed No | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 33c | 37.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 63c | 36.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8b62…c3cbbacked Yes | 38c | 34.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 70c | 33.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb2…14d6backed No | 77c | 33.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 31.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a3…2fe6backed No | 37c | 31.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e08…59d2backed No | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 80c | 29.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8be9…845fbacked No | 74c | 29.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 68c | 29.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 74c | 29.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…245ebacked No | 78c | 27.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked No | 80c | 27.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…c61bbacked No | 78c | 25.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 608 | 51.2%311 W · 297 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 49c | 25.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb345…23d5backed No | 68c | 24.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…da78backed Yes | 51c | 24.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 265 | 33.2%88 W · 177 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…9095backed No | 68c | 21.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 173 | 76.3%132 W · 41 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…596cbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 214 | 48.6%104 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3fc9backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…5c20backed No | 74c | 19.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…5af6backed Yes | 64c | 19.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 71c | 17.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…7522backed No | 71c | 16.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…492bbacked No | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 74cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x715e…c3b0backed No | 71c | 14.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d28…f59fbacked No | 74c | 13.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or below on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on April 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.