Tennis · resolved market
Minaur vs. Wawrinka: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99f874c589f7b9ce71ac36ba96ed4bb06bd33b53d64bee8dad874d43fac0ed80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Under | 58c | 1,210$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Under | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.41 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 42c | 966.48$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.92 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 533.5$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.67 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…150ebacked Over | 58c | 356.46$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.72 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…9b8cbacked Under | 57c | 333.97$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.97 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Under | 55c | 267$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.15 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 42c | 251.75$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 43c | 235.12$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 42c | 232.91$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.82 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 45c | 214.34$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Under | 57c | 175.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 41c | 81.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Under | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…f77ebacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minaur vs. Wawrinka: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Minaur vs. Wawrinka: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Minaur vs. Wawrinka: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stan WawrinkaMinaur won
- Set 1 Winner: Minaur vs WawrinkaMinaur won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Wawrinka (+1.5)Minaur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.