CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Guara Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a32a728ba08969c0f6703ce867522d23b9541a76cbbc0a7b0a1a059943df628
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Academyof paiN Academy, Guara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86bf…a172backed Guara Esports | 13c | 11,476$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.91 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Guara Esports | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…698dbacked paiN Academy | 75c | 1,682$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed paiN Academy | 77c | 1,204$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.14 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked paiN Academy | 71c | 1,131$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.73 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Guara Esports | 27c | 1,076$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.19 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Guara Esports | 14c | 990.28$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.2 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Guara Esports | 27c | 949.98$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.49 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…5f94backed paiN Academy | 79c | 909.82$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.34 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…4d34backed Guara Esports | 17c | 700.22$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.97 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed Guara Esports | 14c | 450.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked paiN Academy | 73c | 409.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Guara Esports | 15c | 321.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…c586backed paiN Academy | 73c | 302.95$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Guara Esports | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Guara Esports | 22c | 247$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Guara Esports | 21c | 246.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Guara Esports | 28c | 240.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Guara Esports | 20c | 230$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Guara Esports | 30c | 222.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Guara Esports | 20c | 212$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Guara Esports | 19c | 199$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Guara Esports | 15c | 185.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Guara Esports | 29c | 168.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Guara Esports | 30c | 161.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Guara Esports | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed paiN Academy | 71c | 134.32$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Guara Esports | 21c | 134$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Guara Esports | 22c | 133$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Guara Esports | 29c | 127.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Guara Esports | 28c | 103.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…914bbacked Guara Esports | 28c | 102.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Guara Esports | 28c | 100.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Guara Esports | 28c | 100.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Guara Esports | 13c | 92.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…c8c3backed Guara Esports | 14c | 90.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Guara Esports | 22c | 82.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Guara Esports | 23c | 75.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f06…a799backed Guara Esports | 27c | 71.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d8…c931backed Guara Esports | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Guara Esports | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Guara Esports | 28c | 58.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Guara Esports | 24c | 54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Guara Esports | 30c | 52.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e2…f6fbbacked Guara Esports | 28c | 49.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked paiN Academy | 78c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Guara Esports | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed paiN Academy | 76c | 26.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630b…34ffbacked paiN Academy | 73c | 24.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe1…af91backed paiN Academy | 73c | 17.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Guara Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StagepaiN Academy won
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Guara Esports - Map 1 WinnerpaiN Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: paiN.A (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5)paiN Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.