CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x512b6f081034e0d3141256cac3853c070d70967cd7258ffffb8de05dbbd0a990

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: paiN Academyof paiN Academy, Guara Esports
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $29,416
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $30,519

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,416 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked paiN Academy	79c	10,727$8,452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,275.31	5,050	55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L	+117.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x625a…867ebacked Guara Esports	14c	2,128$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.97	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Guara Esports	23c	2,078$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.15	193	40.4%78 W · 115 L	-10.1wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Guara Esports	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	574	0%0 W · 574 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed paiN Academy	76c	2,000$1,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.99	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Guara Esports	24c	1,505$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.1	193	51.3%99 W · 94 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Guara Esports	20c	1,354$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.03	336	27.7%93 W · 243 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1810…ac44backed Guara Esports	10c	992.69$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-3.8wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Guara Esports	18c	826.21$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.72	387	39.5%153 W · 234 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed paiN Academy	79c	760.09$603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.1	2,624	51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Guara Esports	24c	757$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.92	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Guara Esports	22c	735.47$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.31	550	39.6%218 W · 332 L	-20.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed Guara Esports	19c	720.07$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.81	121	57.9%70 W · 51 L	+7.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Guara Esports	23c	676.72$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157	545	43.5%237 W · 308 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked Guara Esports	20c	640$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+5.2wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa0d5…9727backed Guara Esports	8c	586.88$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	174	38.5%67 W · 107 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Guara Esports	20c	536.82$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.74	1,618	46.8%758 W · 860 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed paiN Academy	77c	526.32$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.05	597	55.4%331 W · 266 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Guara Esports	20c	499.81$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	552	36.2%200 W · 352 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Guara Esports	18c	469.99$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.6	2,522	43%1,085 W · 1,437 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed paiN Academy	77c	469.04$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.58	2,009	53.9%1,082 W · 927 L	+7.6wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed Guara Esports	22c	449.05$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.71	160	36.3%58 W · 102 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Guara Esports	11c	414.5$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.89	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Guara Esports	24c	410.35$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	186	45.2%84 W · 102 L	-8.9wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Guara Esports	19c	407.14$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.26	341	40.8%139 W · 202 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked Guara Esports	19c	400$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	351	31.1%109 W · 242 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd385…34fbbacked Guara Esports	19c	398.86$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.78	138	52.9%73 W · 65 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…3c88backed Guara Esports	11c	363.64$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa57e…ed54backed Guara Esports	21c	333.33$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Guara Esports	20c	329.52$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.92	1,620	52.7%853 W · 767 L	+57.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Guara Esports	25c	300.02$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.09	991	48.3%479 W · 512 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Guara Esports	23c	300$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.12	919	45.8%421 W · 498 L	-10.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed Guara Esports	25c	299.66$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Guara Esports	12c	293.11$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.49	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Guara Esports	7c	269.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.04	883	30.7%271 W · 612 L	-63.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Guara Esports	19c	200.5$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.1	359	47.9%172 W · 187 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18e…706dbacked Guara Esports	19c	157.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.95	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Guara Esports	22c	153.22$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.07	512	52.1%267 W · 245 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe571…02a3backed Guara Esports	19c	150$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.25	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed paiN Academy	77c	135.51$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.66	773	51.2%396 W · 377 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Guara Esports	25c	129.6$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	334	48.2%161 W · 173 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc38…d93fbacked paiN Academy	80c	125.83$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.17	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Guara Esports	13c	116.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.34	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ed1…908cbacked Guara Esports	19c	100.3$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.11	206	37.9%78 W · 128 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Guara Esports	23c	98.84$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.73	250	42.4%106 W · 144 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfdce…157dbacked paiN Academy	80c	97.5$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.16per pick	71cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8bd…fc74backed Guara Esports	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	308	31.2%96 W · 212 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Guara Esports	21c	95.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	443	43.3%192 W · 251 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb90…1909backed Guara Esports	24c	94.17$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Guara Esports	12c	93$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.43	2,349	42.5%998 W · 1,351 L	-72.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Guara Esports	22c	74.86$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.47	163	51.5%84 W · 79 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976f…8a71backed paiN Academy	74c	70$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.2	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	69cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed paiN Academy	80c	68$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.6	321	39.9%128 W · 193 L	-13.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd85…1d60backed paiN Academy	79c	62.97$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.28	201	47.3%95 W · 106 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4554…8deebacked Guara Esports	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc987…123abacked Guara Esports	23c	59.73$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.54	74	43.2%32 W · 42 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked paiN Academy	76c	59.45$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.48	186	47.3%88 W · 98 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3556…3fb4backed Guara Esports	25c	52.67$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.17	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed Guara Esports	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	398	40.5%161 W · 237 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e9…81f5backed Guara Esports	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f40…6167backed paiN Academy	76c	44.56$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.79	81	50.6%41 W · 40 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f3…ac83backed Guara Esports	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed paiN Academy	78c	38.46$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.46	838	56.1%470 W · 368 L	+31.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed paiN Academy	76c	34.47$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.22	1,848	47.6%879 W · 969 L	-55.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b4…6815backed paiN Academy	78c	31$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.79	234	65%152 W · 82 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed paiN Academy	80c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	604	51%308 W · 296 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed paiN Academy	79c	24.25$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.06	378	55.3%209 W · 169 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8369…1ec0backed paiN Academy	80c	18.75$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.75	109	56.9%62 W · 47 L	+8.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b86…5552backed paiN Academy	80c	16.96$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.39	163	63.2%103 W · 60 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a7…8150backed paiN Academy	80c	14.46$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.89	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	+8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagethis page
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Guara Esports - Map 1 WinnerpaiN Academy won
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Guara Esports - Map 2 WinnerpaiN Academy won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: paiN.A (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5)paiN Academy won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event