South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a51f92b29c946b089751cf8f02cd38ea5d6114e9ba32575f1885dc4845aea32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 71c | 6,304$4,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.27 | 2,608 | 39.3%1,024 W · 1,584 L | -29.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 16c | 4,794$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.47 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9e…936ebacked No | 43c | 3,065$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 359 | 46.8%168 W · 191 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 2,734$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.57 | 5,831 | 45.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L | +99.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 10c | 1,935$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.14 | 2,376 | 34.7%824 W · 1,552 L | -27.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 42c | 1,510$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.02 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked No | 18c | 499.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 43c | 455$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.65 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes | 58c | 343.1$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.1 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 42c | 342.17$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.71 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 57c | 327.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.04 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 5c | 307$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 10c | 291.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 1,511 | 46.1%697 W · 814 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8b…cb2cbacked No | 14c | 270$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a11…9becbacked No | 19c | 259.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…132cbacked No | 6c | 193.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed No | 20c | 193$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 59c | 126.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 230 | 67%154 W · 76 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 41c | 107.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 1,489 | 37.4%557 W · 932 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 73c | 102.56$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 25c | 101.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 701 | 53.2%373 W · 328 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 1,688 | 50.8%857 W · 831 L | -4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 72c | 82.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 930 | 46.3%431 W · 499 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 63c | 82.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 17c | 76.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 14c | 74.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…c4c9backed No | 43c | 70.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 57.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 3,449 | 51.4%1,773 W · 1,676 L | +22.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 21c | 56.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 657 | 61.3%403 W · 254 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 2,655 | 54.2%1,440 W · 1,215 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 43c | 41.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 34c | 40.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…8343backed No | 42c | 38.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Yes | 77c | 37.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 74c | 33.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 39c | 27.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1,703 | 52%886 W · 817 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Yes | 57c | 27.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…9086backed Yes | 59c | 25.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 56c | 22.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 1,261 | 53.6%676 W · 585 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 62c | 17.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-24?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-08-24?No won
- Will CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.