MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a8b074473cd2c65aa2def407dffc218a8b633fe4cb058cef843aa7b485d5b9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof SSG Landers, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked SSG Landers | 7c | 1,943$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.85 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed SSG Landers | 1c | 1,449$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SSG Landers | 12c | 1,010$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SSG Landers | 7c | 998.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Kia Tigers | 67c | 788.98$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.36 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SSG Landers | 2c | 675.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed SSG Landers | 33c | 515.14$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Kia Tigers | 66c | 507.46$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.46 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SSG Landers | 33c | 289.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed SSG Landers | 35c | 129.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SSG Landers | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SSG Landers | 17c | 116.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Kia Tigers | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kia Tigers | 76c | 98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed SSG Landers | 33c | 76.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed SSG Landers | 34c | 70.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed SSG Landers | 35c | 66.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed SSG Landers | 36c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed SSG Landers | 33c | 60.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Kia Tigers | 68c | 60.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed SSG Landers | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed SSG Landers | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…6d74backed Kia Tigers | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed SSG Landers | 33c | 52.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked SSG Landers | 33c | 51.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Kia Tigers | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Kia Tigers | 66c | 50.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed SSG Landers | 30c | 46.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…516dbacked Kia Tigers | 67c | 43.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Kia Tigers | 69c | 43.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed SSG Landers | 34c | 43.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked SSG Landers | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed SSG Landers | 41c | 37.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kia Tigers | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…4576backed Kia Tigers | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kia Tigers | 58c | 30.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…4eadbacked Kia Tigers | 50c | 23.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf24…e995backed SSG Landers | 50c | 23.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a28…b63fbacked Kia Tigers | 50c | 22.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed41…b11cbacked SSG Landers | 50c | 22.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…df77backed Kia Tigers | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e12…a41cbacked SSG Landers | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c5…1336backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Kia Tigers | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Kia Tigers | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.