South American Leagues · resolved market
O'Higgins FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aedd0dd607c09e4e472b37323dea199d67ad46bdf0fab7c5df7dbcca0f2c283
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 14,379$7,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,716.19 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 41c | 6,705$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.46 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 51c | 6,179$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.06 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 52c | 3,930$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.71 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 68c | 3,776$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.42 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 3,301$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.86 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1ce0backed Over | 67c | 1,482$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 10c | 1,182$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Over | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…fcb9backed Over | 17c | 826.94$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +174.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 71c | 695.95$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.76 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 54c | 657.06$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.68 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 54c | 654.67$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.09 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 55c | 635.9$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.05 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Over | 44c | 569.3$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.34 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 8c | 441.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 31c | 400.22$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.15 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 53c | 324$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.91 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 62c | 323.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.78 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 55c | 307.64$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.44 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…c5e1backed Under | 76c | 297.05$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 76cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 54c | 293.34$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.14 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 275.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 32c | 250$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 53c | 224.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.77 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 32c | 177.18$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.48 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 22c | 163$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Under | 36c | 133.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8397…a04dbacked Over | 23c | 130.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…985bbacked Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 70cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 43c | 119.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 62c | 111.35$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 45c | 110.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 35c | 102.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…ba51backed Under | 76c | 77.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 25c | 71.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 28c | 62.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Over | 66c | 45.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Under | 33c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 45c | 42.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…4718backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999b…abf6backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 33c | 30.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 30.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 50c | 21.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O'Higgins FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5this page
- O'Higgins FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- O'Higgins FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- O'Higgins FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- O'Higgins FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 0.5Over won
- O'Higgins FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5Under won
- O'Higgins FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)O'Higgins FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.