CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ALKA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b1ccb55e291a1e827367f94f29bc9e83414513d781095d19adc2b9c19900797
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALKAof paiN Academy, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked paiN Academy | 2c | 3,400$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked paiN Academy | 29c | 1,346$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.74 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed paiN Academy | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked paiN Academy | 49c | 778.31$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.61 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed paiN Academy | 37c | 768.28$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.04 | 184 | 42.9%79 W · 105 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed paiN Academy | 45c | 687.4$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.77 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ALKA | 68c | 663.02$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.68 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ALKA | 68c | 608.35$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.65 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ALKA | 50c | 607.7$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.5 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed paiN Academy | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ALKA | 70c | 388.65$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.1 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ALKA | 71c | 287.55$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.57 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ALKA | 52c | 273.47$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.27 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked ALKA | 62c | 172.5$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ALKA | 73c | 171.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed paiN Academy | 37c | 161.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked paiN Academy | 44c | 135$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked paiN Academy | 32c | 119.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ALKA | 62c | 108.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN Academy | 28c | 107$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed paiN Academy | 33c | 86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed ALKA | 66c | 79.95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed paiN Academy | 30c | 71.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…b9bfbacked ALKA | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed paiN Academy | 35c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed ALKA | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ALKA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group StageALKA won
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerALKA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.