CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4963d838d7a67ca05a7155338b2e9c22ad49e9634de6a4ab8470dadb99004cc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALKAof paiN Academy, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ALKA | 52c | 7,745$4,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,685.84 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed paiN Academy | 47c | 2,008$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.11 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed paiN Academy | 49c | 1,503$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.29 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ALKA | 52c | 1,476$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.27 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…dc20backed paiN Academy | 8c | 1,286$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 15cpaid | +208.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ALKA | 76c | 1,002$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.15 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ALKA | 52c | 977.05$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.54 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked paiN Academy | 48c | 970.17$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.8 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked paiN Academy | 48c | 628$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.2 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed paiN Academy | 48c | 570.83$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…04b2backed paiN Academy | 48c | 568.2$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.74 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed paiN Academy | 49c | 500$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4752…1817backed paiN Academy | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed ALKA | 74c | 480.75$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.39 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked paiN Academy | 50c | 416.84$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.42 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed paiN Academy | 48c | 399.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ALKA | 75c | 362.38$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed paiN Academy | 47c | 351.85$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.57 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked paiN Academy | 48c | 334.8$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.7 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ALKA | 54c | 322.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.81 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed paiN Academy | 31c | 307.11$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed paiN Academy | 24c | 296.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed paiN Academy | 50c | 293.36$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.68 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed paiN Academy | 49c | 262$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.38 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed paiN Academy | 48c | 241.59$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed paiN Academy | 43c | 234$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bf…4c01backed paiN Academy | 19c | 223.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…ff47backed paiN Academy | 37c | 200.64$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 184 | 50%92 W · 92 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked paiN Academy | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed paiN Academy | 48c | 193.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed paiN Academy | 45c | 175.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed paiN Academy | 20c | 169.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked paiN Academy | 46c | 168.66$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed paiN Academy | 46c | 165.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked ALKA | 80c | 140.56$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed paiN Academy | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +13,154.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ALKA | 63c | 121.6$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed paiN Academy | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed paiN Academy | 48c | 104.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed ALKA | 53c | 101.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e4…8171backed paiN Academy | 16c | 100.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed paiN Academy | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked ALKA | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…afedbacked paiN Academy | 18c | 90.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked paiN Academy | 12c | 90.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked paiN Academy | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed paiN Academy | 32c | 70.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed paiN Academy | 47c | 69.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ALKA | 74c | 69.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked paiN Academy | 45c | 65.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed paiN Academy | 36c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed paiN Academy | 25c | 56.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed ALKA | 52c | 56.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked paiN Academy | 51c | 55.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked paiN Academy | 45c | 45.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed paiN Academy | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked paiN Academy | 45c | 41.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed ALKA | 53c | 38.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed ALKA | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed ALKA | 51c | 36.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked ALKA | 76c | 36.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ALKA | 58c | 34.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed paiN Academy | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked paiN Academy | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed paiN Academy | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed ALKA | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed paiN Academy | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed ALKA | 52c | 20.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4b24backed paiN Academy | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ALKA - Map 1 WinnerALKA won
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerALKA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.