Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b9580e80daa8a9da349032831f4b80c7726e5c7d1deb9320e6d3ecefbfd9677
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yale Bulldogsof Penn Quakers, Yale Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penn Quakers | 20c | 17,490$3,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,569 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yale Bulldogs | 76c | 6,014$4,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.1 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Penn Quakers | 18c | 4,556$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.79 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yale Bulldogs | 73c | 4,431$3,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.41 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Yale Bulldogs | 75c | 3,173$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.3 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Penn Quakers | 18c | 2,222$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yale Bulldogs | 79c | 2,040$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.83 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Penn Quakers | 32c | 2,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.72 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Penn Quakers | 44c | 1,694$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.25 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yale Bulldogs | 73c | 1,644$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.24 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penn Quakers | 18c | 1,579$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.36 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Penn Quakers | 13c | 1,562$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.37 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Penn Quakers | 37c | 1,452$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.83 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Yale Bulldogs | 66c | 998.02$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.29 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Penn Quakers | 42c | 994.81$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yale Bulldogs | 68c | 793.21$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.22 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Penn Quakers | 22c | 787$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.78 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Penn Quakers | 18c | 595.78$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Penn Quakers | 39c | 581.92$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.95 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Penn Quakers | 40c | 521.51$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.94 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Penn Quakers | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Penn Quakers | 22c | 464.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Penn Quakers | 20c | 436.49$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked Yale Bulldogs | 73c | 383.52$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.78 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yale Bulldogs | 75c | 340.01$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.11 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Penn Quakers | 10c | 336.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Penn Quakers | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Penn Quakers | 9c | 286$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Yale Bulldogs | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Penn Quakers | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Yale Bulldogs | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Penn Quakers | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Yale Bulldogs | 79c | 126.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed Penn Quakers | 20c | 119.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penn Quakers | 33c | 106.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Penn Quakers | 19c | 105.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Penn Quakers | 19c | 99.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Penn Quakers | 21c | 94.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Yale Bulldogs | 55c | 86.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Penn Quakers | 39c | 85.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Penn Quakers | 29c | 81.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Penn Quakers | 45c | 76.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yale Bulldogs | 80c | 60.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…d0f5backed Penn Quakers | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Yale Bulldogs | 80c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Yale Bulldogs | 74c | 36.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Yale Bulldogs | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Yale Bulldogs | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yale Bulldogs | 75c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x354a…ae3ebacked Yale Bulldogs | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Yale Bulldogs | 77c | 13.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogsthis page
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 150.5Under won
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 151.5Under won
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-10.5)Penn Quakers won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-9.5)Penn Quakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.