CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9be5b10e33276d0dcb639b21a14f8f28690fe631528d4f3574ea529a63320945
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- THUNDER dOWNUNDERof THUNDER dOWNUNDER, Ground Zero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b83…b2e8backed Ground Zero | 0c | 6,156$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Ground Zero | 8c | 5,943$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.33 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 78c | 1,605$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.92 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 77c | 1,308$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.05 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 75c | 1,295$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.1 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Ground Zero | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ground Zero | 23c | 920.85$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.05 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Ground Zero | 20c | 902.48$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.04 | 896 | 30.7%275 W · 621 L | -64.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Ground Zero | 8c | 844.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 346 | 26.9%93 W · 253 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Ground Zero | 31c | 679.85$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Ground Zero | 7c | 639.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 489 | 39.7%194 W · 295 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Ground Zero | 22c | 564.11$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.68 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Ground Zero | 22c | 542.55$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.19 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ground Zero | 22c | 540.22$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.57 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Ground Zero | 3c | 444.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 769 | 33.8%260 W · 509 L | -48.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 78c | 439.54$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.49 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Ground Zero | 13c | 332.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Ground Zero | 9c | 332.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 1,087 | 37.5%408 W · 679 L | +33.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Ground Zero | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Ground Zero | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 577 | 40.4%233 W · 344 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Ground Zero | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +12.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f09…38c3backed Ground Zero | 8c | 298.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Ground Zero | 21c | 287.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Ground Zero | 8c | 249.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ground Zero | 7c | 240.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 78c | 208.2$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Ground Zero | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Ground Zero | 29c | 168$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 70c | 149.8$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Ground Zero | 8c | 147.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 77c | 127.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 77c | 125.06$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…08f9backed Ground Zero | 22c | 112.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Ground Zero | 27c | 69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Ground Zero | 20c | 63.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 75c | 50.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 70c | 42.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 67c | 41.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…7143backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 70c | 35.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 70c | 31.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 68c | 25.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 76c | 18.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 75c | 18.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 64c | 15.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero - Map 1 WinnerTHUNDER dOWNUNDER won
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero - Map 2 WinnerTHUNDER dOWNUNDER won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.