Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Rei Sakamoto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ce428625f5ef00cadaf38e8c513c097c7cb5047ec261e3e72685d9ccd69c8d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rei Sakamotoof Aziz Dougaz, Rei Sakamoto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Aziz Dougaz | 26c | 4,727$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.56 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rei Sakamoto | 72c | 3,687$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.43 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Aziz Dougaz | 16c | 1,861$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.76 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Rei Sakamoto | 70c | 1,714$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.59 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Aziz Dougaz | 26c | 1,222$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.72 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Aziz Dougaz | 20c | 1,070$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Rei Sakamoto | 70c | 1,063$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.89 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…bacdbacked Aziz Dougaz | 18c | 996.72$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Aziz Dougaz | 30c | 910.19$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.54 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Rei Sakamoto | 71c | 753.52$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.52 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Aziz Dougaz | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Aziz Dougaz | 16c | 578.14$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Aziz Dougaz | 29c | 494.77$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.48 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Rei Sakamoto | 71c | 372$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 389 | 52.2%203 W · 186 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed Aziz Dougaz | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe75…74c8backed Aziz Dougaz | 30c | 326.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Aziz Dougaz | 16c | 306.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aziz Dougaz | 15c | 278.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Aziz Dougaz | 30c | 227.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Aziz Dougaz | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Aziz Dougaz | 9c | 176.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Rei Sakamoto | 71c | 158$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Aziz Dougaz | 18c | 151.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Aziz Dougaz | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Aziz Dougaz | 30c | 129.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Rei Sakamoto | 70c | 128.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…dabfbacked Rei Sakamoto | 71c | 125$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Aziz Dougaz | 17c | 113$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Rei Sakamoto | 72c | 101$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Rei Sakamoto | 76c | 100.72$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Aziz Dougaz | 30c | 100.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Rei Sakamoto | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Rei Sakamoto | 70c | 97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rei Sakamoto | 75c | 84.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Aziz Dougaz | 30c | 79.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aziz Dougaz | 26c | 76.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -16.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Aziz Dougaz | 26c | 76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Aziz Dougaz | 30c | 72.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Rei Sakamoto | 70c | 72.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Rei Sakamoto | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Aziz Dougaz | 29c | 57.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Aziz Dougaz | 30c | 55.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Aziz Dougaz | 29c | 51.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Aziz Dougaz | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Aziz Dougaz | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Rei Sakamoto | 71c | 46.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 604 | 46.7%282 W · 322 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rei Sakamoto | 75c | 45.69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Aziz Dougaz | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Rei Sakamoto | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Aziz Dougaz | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Aziz Dougaz | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 304 | 36.8%112 W · 192 L | -19.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Rei Sakamoto | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Rei Sakamoto | 71c | 32.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Rei Sakamoto | 70c | 31.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Rei Sakamoto | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Rei Sakamoto | 71c | 29.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 606 | 51.8%314 W · 292 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Rei Sakamoto | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Rei Sakamoto | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Rei Sakamoto | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9799…486bbacked Rei Sakamoto | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Rei Sakamoto | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Rei Sakamoto | 70c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 282 | 37.9%107 W · 175 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Rei Sakamoto | 69c | 18.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Rei Sakamoto | 71c | 15.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.