Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d3d2b616e384b6605e7cb0c9ed1a42acf615912e1c810e1997448c99c0e0fc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Over | 41c | 5,781$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.94 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…f7e6backed Under | 59c | 3,462$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee48…cca6backed Under | 59c | 3,462$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 60c | 1,558$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.92 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…b908backed Under | 57c | 1,234$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 59c | 1,111$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.51 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 40c | 845.44$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.38 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 41c | 677.94$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.96 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 60c | 525.82$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.33 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 60c | 505.76$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.31 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 55c | 474.54$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.54 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Under | 63c | 380.84$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.28 | 494 | 61.3%303 W · 191 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Under | 57c | 372.59$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.21 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 62c | 272.8$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.66 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 38c | 268.79$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 70c | 239.58$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 29c | 237.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbff…b7a7backed Over | 40c | 195.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 132.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7259…e70fbacked Over | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Over | 40c | 96.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Over | 45c | 85.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 36c | 82.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Over | 41c | 67.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 41c | 64.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Under | 65c | 61.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Over | 41c | 58.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 62c | 58.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Under | 58c | 53.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…0149backed Under | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Over | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d4…2059backed Over | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 40c | 44.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…890cbacked Over | 40c | 40.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…abb3backed Under | 71c | 33.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Under | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 494 | 51.8%256 W · 238 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x020b…78d4backed Over | 43c | 29.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…7814backed Under | 70c | 26.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.