South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d534264e585b592e539802d9e85b11162a96f17e3855f32411fc1cc6b349f84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 5,473$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,256.21 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 46c | 3,600$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.98 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 45c | 3,314$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.31 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 3,239$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.65 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 14c | 2,220$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.04 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 54c | 1,336$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.53 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 31c | 968.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.39 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed Yes | 69c | 956.64$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 55c | 853.22$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.95 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…d8acbacked No | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 54c | 437.89$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.9 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 41c | 342.8$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.09 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed Yes | 65c | 279.72$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.37 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 76c | 215.8$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.01 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 26c | 190$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 32c | 175$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.45 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 55c | 156.48$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…357abacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 56c | 101.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 54c | 100.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 21c | 100.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 33c | 98.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.93 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 32c | 71.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 65.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 55c | 58.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 55c | 54.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked No | 54c | 50.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed No | 54c | 50.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked No | 54c | 50.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked No | 54c | 50.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 64c | 50.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 34c | 47.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 37c | 43.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 70c | 42.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 42c | 36.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 44c | 34.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 44c | 26.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 45c | 25.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…73dbbacked No | 70c | 24.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 44c | 23.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 55c | 21.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 56c | 20.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed No | 57c | 19.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 69c | 15.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Yes | 69c | 15.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will CA Mineiro vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.