Other European Leagues · resolved market
PSV leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9da87402fba0c36326c29d3ad9866ea2bae3bb4e5d830bb3596fd4a3895dfbb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 43c | 2,660$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.57 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes | 66c | 2,220$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 34c | 1,182$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.12 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b3…0bacbacked Yes | 68c | 1,110$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 1,090$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.62 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 32c | 711.28$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.67 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 34c | 610.46$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.09 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 34c | 394$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.04 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 66c | 356.92$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.74 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 66c | 255.35$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.53 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 24c | 228$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed No | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked No | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 33c | 86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 33c | 82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 66c | 78.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 34c | 74.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 74c | 46.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked No | 46c | 43.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Yes | 64c | 37.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 32.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…421fbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 61c | 28.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 73c | 26.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed No | 69c | 24.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…2c85backed Yes | 62c | 20.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 78c | 12.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PSV leading at halftime?this page
- Fortuna Sittard leading at halftime?Yes won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.